LA Chargers vs Cleveland Browns Prediction NFL Picks 11/3/24

Cleveland Browns Betting Preview

The Cleveland Browns are 2-6 this season after they defeated Baltimore by a score of 29-24 in their last game. Cleveland trailed 10-6 at halftime and 24-23 in the fourth quarter, but they scored with under a minute left for the win. The Browns out gained Baltimore by a total of 401-387, lost the turnover battle 1-0, and went 8-15 on third down in the game. Jameis Winston threw for 334 yards and three touchdowns, while Nick Chubb rushed for 52 yards on 16 carries. 

Prior to that game, the Browns had lost five games in a row against Cincinnati, Philadelphia, Washington, Las Vegas, and the Giants. The Cleveland offense has scored 17.3 points per game with 179.8 passing yards and 92.5 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 23.3 points against per game this season. The Browns have gone 27.7% on third down and 11-18 on fourth down so far this season. Jameis Winston has completed 69.5% of his passes for 417 yards and four touchdowns, while Jerry Jeudy has caught 26 passes for 345 yards and one score. 

Why the Browns will beat the Chargers

• The Browns have won eight of their last nine home games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Chargers have lost three of their last four road games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Browns have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games at Huntington Bank Field following a Division game.
• The Chargers have failed to cover the spread in 11 of their last 13 November games against AFC opponents.
• The Chargers have lost the first half in five of their last six games as favorites against AFC North opponents.
• The Chargers have lost the first quarter in seven of their last eight November road games against AFC opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Browns' last seven November games at Huntington Bank Field have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Eleven of the Chargers' last 12 Sunday games have gone UNDER the total points line.

Cleveland Browns Player Prop Facts

• Nick Chubb has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last four appearances with the Browns as underdogs against AFC West opponents.
• Nick Chubb has recorded 16+ receiving yards in each of his last six November appearances with the Browns as underdogs.
• Deshaun Watson has recorded 253+ passing yards in six of his last seven appearances against AFC West opponents.
• Nick Chubb has recorded 90+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his nine previous November appearances at Huntington Bank Field.
• Nick Chubb has recorded 52+ rushing yards in 23 of his last 24 appearances at Huntington Bank Field.
• Deshaun Watson has thrown two touchdowns in each of his four previous home appearances in November.
• Deshaun Watson has recorded 25+ completions in five of his last six appearances with his team as a home underdog.
• Heading into Week 9, Denzel Ward ranks 1st in the league for passes defensed (12) this season.

Los Angeles Chargers Player Prop Facts

• J.K. Dobbins has scored a touchdown in each of the Chargers' last four Sunday games as favorites.
• Justin Herbert has recorded 14+ rushing yards in seven of the Chargers' last eight November games as favorites.
• D.J. Chark Jr. has recorded 43+ receiving yards in seven of his last eight Sunday appearances with his team as a favorite.
• Justin Herbert has recorded 212+ passing yards in 14 of the Chargers' last 15 Sunday games as road favorites.
• J.K. Dobbins has recorded 93+ rushing and receiving yards in four of his last five appearances against AFC North opponents.
• Justin Herbert has thrown two or more touchdowns in four of the Chargers' last five November games as favorites against AFC opponents.
• Justin Herbert has recorded 21+ completions in 14 of the Chargers' last 15 Sunday games as road favorites.
• Derwin James is just two away from 10 career interceptions.

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 9, the Browns rank 1st in the NFL in Q4 opponent points per game (2.5) this season.
• Heading into Week 9, the Browns rank T1st in the NFL in Q4 win percentage (75.0) this season.
• Heading into Week 9, the Chargers rank 1st in the NFL in Q2 opponent points per game (3.4) this season.
• Heading into Week 9, the Chargers rank 1st in the NFL in H1 opponent points per game (4.7) this season.

LA Chargers vs Cleveland Browns Prediction 

Cleveland was able to pull off a huge upset against Baltimore last week and they will look to make it two wins in a row here. The Browns had really struggled offensively with Watson under center, but Jameis Winston looked very good in last week’s win. Los Angeles has a very solid defense, but their offense leaves a lot to be desired. The Chargers have scored 15 points or fewer in three of their last five games and I have no faith in them here. Take the Browns to get another win at home.