New Orleans Saints vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction NFL Picks 10/7/24

Kansas City Chiefs (4-0) vs New Orleans Saints (2-2)

Game Info: Monday, October 7, 2024 at 8:15 pm (GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium)

Betting Odds: Kansas City Chiefs -5.5 / New Orleans Saints +5.5 --- Over/Under: 42.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The New Orleans Saints and Kansas City Chiefs meet Monday in week 5 NFL action at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Here’s a New Orleans Saints vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction. This article will include a New Orleans Saints vs Kansas City Chiefs Pick.

New Orleans Saints Betting Preview

The New Orleans Saints lost to the Eagles and Falcons, and they play the Buccaneers next. The New Orleans Saints have lost 5 of their last 8 road games. Derek Carr is completing 72 percent of his passes for 824 yards, 6 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. Chris Olave and Rashid Shaheed have combined for 517 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Alvin Kamara has 17 receptions.

The New Orleans Saints ground game is averaging 147.5 yards per contest, and Kamara leads the way with 362 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, New Orleans is allowing 17.5 points and 330.3 yards per game. Paulson Adebo leads the New Orleans Saints with 32 tackles, Alontae Taylor has 3.5 sacks and Tyrann Mathieu has 2 interceptions.

Kansas City Chiefs Betting Preview

The Kansas City Chiefs beat the Falcons and Chargers, and they play the 49ers next. The Kansas City Chiefs look for their first 5-0 start since the 2018 season. Patrick Mahomes is completing 68.6 percent of his passes for 904 yards, 6 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions. Rashee Rice and Travis Kelce have combined for 446 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Xavier Worthy has 9 receptions.

The Kansas City Chiefs ground game is averaging 112.5 yards per contest, and Isiah Pacheco leads the way with 135 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Kansas City is allowing 18 points and 326.8 yards per game. Nick Bolton leads the Kansas City Chiefs with 27 tackles, Chris Jones has 3 sacks and Chamarri Conner has 1 interception.

Why the Kansas City Chiefs will win

The Chiefs have won each of their last nine games against opponents on a losing streak.
The Saints have lost each of their last six games against AFC West opponents on a winning streak.
The Chiefs have covered the spread in each of their last five October games against NFC opponents.
The Saints have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six Monday road games.
The Saints have lost the first half in five of their last six October games against AFC West opponents.
The Saints have lost the first quarter in five of their last six road games against reigning Super Bowl champions.

Kansas City Chiefs Player Prop Facts

Patrick Mahomes has recorded 272+ passing yards in each of the Chiefs' last six October home games.
Travis Kelce has recorded 57+ receiving yards in 13 of the Chiefs' last 14 October games at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.
Patrick Mahomes has recorded 28+ rushing yards in each of the Chiefs' last four October games as home favorites.
Marquise Brown has recorded 61+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last four Week 5 appearances.
Marquise Brown has scored at least one touchdown in each of his four previous Week 5 home appearances.
Patrick Mahomes has thrown two or more touchdowns in seven of his last eight home appearances in October.
Patrick Mahomes has recorded 25+ completions in each of the Chiefs' last five October games at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.
Xavier Worthy ranks T2nd in the NFL in 20+ yard receiving touchdowns (2) this season.

New Orleans Saints Player Prop Facts

Taysom Hill has scored at least one touchdown in four of the Saints' last five games as underdogs following a loss.
Derek Carr has recorded 222+ passing yards in nine of his last 10 appearances with his team as a road underdog against AFC West opponents.
Cedrick Wilson has recorded 19+ receiving yards in seven of his eight previous regular-season appearances against AFC West opponents.
Jamaal Williams has recorded 30+ rushing yards in seven of his last eight appearances against AFC opponents.
Alvin Kamara has recorded 97+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Saints' last seven October games against AFC opponents.
Derek Carr has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of his last eight October appearances with his team as an underdog against AFC opponents.
Alvin Kamara ranks T1st in the NFL in rushing touchdowns (5) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

The Chiefs rank 1st in the NFL in H2 win percentage (100.0) this season.
The Chiefs rank T2nd in the NFL in forced fumbles (5) this season.
The Saints rank 1st in the NFL in Q1 points per game (10.3) this season.
The Saints rank 1st in the NFL in H1 points per game (20.5) this season.

New Orleans Saints vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction

The Kansas City Chiefs are going to get the benefit of the doubt at home, but I'm not excited to lay decent-sized chalk with them. Every game for the Chiefs this season has been decided by 7 or fewer points, and the offense won't have Rashee Rice. The New Orleans Saints are coming off back-to-back losses, but those games were decided by a combined 5 points, and they bring the best-scoring offense in the league. This Saints' offense should have success against a Chiefs defense that's 23rd against the pass. Also, the Saints are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog. I'll take my chances with the Saints and the points on the road on Monday night.