Bills vs Chargers Prediction - NFL Picks 12/23/23

Los Angeles Chargers (5-9) vs Buffalo Bills (8-6)

Game Info: Saturday, December 23, 2023 at 8:00 pm (SoFi Stadium)

Betting Odds: Los Angeles Chargers +12.5 -- Over/Under: 43.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Buffalo Bills will play the Los Angeles Chargers on Saturday night at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California. Buffalo has won two games in a row, while Los Angeles has lost five of their last six games. Let’s take a look at the betting matchup and the Bills vs Chargers prediction.

Bills Preview

The Buffalo Bills are 8-6 this season after they defeated Dallas by a score of 31-10 in their last game. Buffalo led 21-3 at the half and they were able to extend that lead to 31-3 in the fourth quarter. The Bills out gained Dallas by a total of 351-195 and went 5-9 on third down in the win. Buffalo defeated Kansas City by a score of 20-17 in the game prior to Dallas, but lost to the Eagles in overtime before that. The Buffalo offense is scoring 27.1 points per game with 244.6 passing yards per game and 132.3 rushing yards per game. Josh Allen has thrown for 3,541 yards, 26 touchdowns, and 14 interceptions for the Bills this season. James Cook has rushed for 968 yards and two touchdowns, while Stefon Diggs has caught 91 passes for 1,041 yards and eight scores. The Buffalo defense is allowing 18.1 points against per game this year. 

Chargers Preview

The Los Angeles Chargers are 5-9 this year after they lost to the Raiders by a score of 63-21 in their last game. Los Angeles trailed 42-0 at halftime, but they were able to score 21 points in the second half to avoid being shutout. The Chargers were out gained by a total of 378-326 and turned the ball over five times in the game. LA has lost to Denver, Baltimore, Green Bay, and Detroit, while beating the Patriots in their last six games. The Los Angeles offense is scoring 21.6 points per game with 238 passing yards per game and 95.7 rushing yards per game. Easton Stick has thrown for 436 yards, three touchdowns, and one interception for the Chargers this season. Austin Ekeler has rushed for 506 yards and five touchdowns, while Joshua Palmer has caught 27 passes for 490 yards and two scores. The LA defense is giving up 24.6 points against per game this season.

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Los Angeles Chargers Team Facts

  • The Chargers have lost each of their last four games played on the West Coast.
  • The Chargers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games as underdogs.
  • The Chargers have scored the first touchdown in 10 of their last 12 home games against AFC East opponents.
  • The Chargers have won the first quarter in four of their last five games as underdogs following a road loss.
  • The Chargers have lost the first half in each of their last five games as underdogs.

Buffalo Bills Team Facts

  • The Bills have won eight of their last nine December games against AFC opponents.
  • The Bills have covered the spread in seven of their last eight December road games against AFC opponents.
  • The Bills have won the first half in seven of their last eight games in December.
  • The Bills have scored the first touchdown in eight of their last 10 games played on the West Coast.
  • The Bills have lost the first quarter in three of their last four games as road favorites following a win.

Los Angeles Chargers Player Prop Facts

  • Austin Ekeler has scored a touchdown in each of the Chargers' last six December games at SoFi Stadium.
  • Austin Ekeler has recorded 45+ rushing yards in each of the Chargers' last seven December games at SoFi Stadium.
  • Austin Ekeler has recorded 29+ receiving yards in each of his last eight appearances on the West Coast.
  • Justin Herbert has recorded 314+ passing yards in four of his five previous December appearances with the Chargers as underdogs against AFC opponents.
  • Austin Ekeler has recorded 68+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Chargers' last eight December games at SoFi Stadium.
  • Justin Herbert has recorded 29+ completions in each of the Chargers' last three games following a road loss.
  • Asante Samuel Jr. is just one away from 10 career interceptions (including playoffs).

Buffalo Bills Player Prop Facts

  • Leonard Fournette has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last six appearances with his team as a favorite against AFC opponents.
  • Nyheim Hines has recorded 20+ receiving yards in seven of his eight previous December appearances with his team as a road favorite against AFC opponents.
  • Leonard Fournette has recorded 97+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last four appearances with his team as a road favorite against AFC opponents.
  • Latavius Murray has recorded 22+ rushing yards in each of his last eight appearances with his team as a favorite against AFC West opponents.
  • Taylor Rapp is just one away from 10 career interceptions (including playoffs).

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Chargers rank 31st in the NFL in H1 opponent points per game this season (13.4).
  • The Chargers rank T31st in the NFL in Q3 win percentage this season (14.3).
  • The Bills rank T2nd in the NFL in fumbles recovered this season (11).
  • The Bills are one of only two teams in the NFL to rank top 5 for both sacks and fumbles recovered this season.

Bills vs Chargers Betting Prediction

Buffalo comes into this game after two great wins against Dallas and Kansas City and should have no problems winning this game. The Bills are only 2-4 on the road this year, but the Chargers are a disaster right now. Los Angeles lost to the Raiders by a score of 63-21 last week and fired their coach after that performance. Los Angeles has lost five of their last six games and that isn’t going to change here. I know this is a big spread, but I think the only play here is taking the Bills to win by a couple of scores. 

David’s Pick Bills -12.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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