Texans vs Titans Prediction - NFL Picks 12/17/23

Tennessee Titans (5-8) vs Houston Texans (7-6)

Game Info: Sunday, December 17, 2023 at 1:00 pm (Nissan Stadium)

Betting Odds: Tennessee Titans -3.5 -- Over/Under: 36.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Houston Texans will play the Tennessee Titans on Sunday afternoon at Nissan Stadium in Nashville, Tennessee. Houston has lost two of their last three games, while Tennessee has won two of their last three. Let’s take a look at the betting matchup and the Texans vs Titans prediction.

Texans Preview

The Houston Texans are 7-6 this year after they lost to the Jets by a score of 30-6 in their last game. Houston was tied at 0 at the half, but they allowed 30 points in the second half for the loss. The Texans were out gained by a total of 347-135 and went 1-12 on third down in the game. Houston won their previous game against Denver by a score of 22-17, but they lost to Jacksonville in the game before that. The Texans offense is scoring 22.1 points per game with 258.2 passing yards per game and 96.6 rushing yards per game. C.J. Stroud (doubtful) has thrown for 3,631 yards, 20 touchdowns, and five interceptions for the Texans this season. If Stroud can’t go, it would be either Davis Mills or Case Keenum under center. Devin Singletary has rushed for 590 yards and three touchdowns, while Nico Collins (questionable) has caught 60 passes for 1,004 yards and six scores. The Houston defense is allowing 21.5 points against per game this year. 

Titans Preview

The Tennessee Titans are 5-8 this season after they defeated Miami by a score of 28-27 in their last game. Tennessee trailed 27-13 late in the fourth quarter, but they scored 15 points in the final 2:40 for the win. The Titans out gained Miami by a total of 403-366, but did turn the ball over three times in the game. Tennessee lost to the Colts in the game before Miami by a score of 31-28, but did defeat Carolina in the game before that. The Tennessee offense is averaging 18.5 points per game with 193.7 passing yards per game and 106.9 rushing yards per game. Will Levis has thrown for 1,593 yards, eight touchdowns, and three interceptions for the Titans this year. Derrick Henry has rushed for 875 yards and 10 scores, while DeAndre Hopkins has caught 57 passes for 898 yards and six touchdowns. The Tennessee defense is giving up 21.7 points against per game this season. 

Tennessee Titans Team Facts

  • The Titans have lost four of their last five December games as home favorites against AFC opponents.
  • The Titans have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four home games in December.
  • The Titans have won the first quarter in each of their last two games at Nissan Stadium against teams that held a winning record.
  • The road team has won the first half in each of the last five games between the Texans and Titans.
  • The Titans have scored the first touchdown in eight of their last nine games as home favorites.

Houston Texans Team Facts

  • The Texans have won each of their last four games as underdogs following a loss.
  • The Texans have covered the spread in each of their last six games as road underdogs against AFC South opponents.
  • The Texans have scored the first touchdown in five of their last six road games against AFC South opponents.
  • The Texans have won the first quarter in each of their last two games as road underdogs following a loss.
  • The Texans have won the first half in five of their last six games as slight underdogs (<+3.5 points).

Tennessee Titans Player Prop Facts

  • Derrick Henry has scored the first touchdown in each of his last four December appearances at Nissan Stadium.
  • DeAndre Hopkins has recorded 60+ receiving yards in each of his last eight Week 15 appearances.
  • Derrick Henry has recorded 82+ rushing yards in each of his last 10 appearances with the Titans as home favorites against AFC South opponents.
  • Derrick Henry has scored at least one touchdown in eight of his last nine December appearances with the Titans as favorites against AFC South opponents.
  • Ryan Tannehill has recorded 220+ passing yards in each of his four previous Week 15 home appearances.
  • Derrick Henry has scored two touchdowns in each of the Titans' last three games.
  • Derrick Henry has recorded 106+ rushing and receiving yards in 10 of his last 11 December appearances against AFC South opponents.
  • Ryan Tannehill has recorded 21+ completions in four of his last five December appearances with the Titans as home favorites.
  • Ryan Tannehill has thrown two or more touchdowns in seven of his last eight December appearances with the Titans as favorites against AFC opponents.
  • Ryan Stonehouse ranks 1st in the AFC amongst qualified players for gross average yards per punt (53.1) this season.

Houston Texans Player Prop Facts

  • Davis Mills has recorded 19+ completions in eight of his 10 previous appearances following a road loss.
  • Devin Singletary has recorded 51+ rushing yards in each of his last three December road appearances.
  • Robert Woods has recorded 26+ receiving yards in each of his last 22 appearances against division opponents.
  • Tank Dell has scored at least one touchdown in four of his last five Sunday appearances.
  • Devin Singletary has recorded 78+ rushing and receiving yards in five of his six previous December appearances with his team as an underdog.
  • Jimmie Ward is just one away from 10 career interceptions (including playoffs).

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Titans rank 30th in the NFL in red zone percentage this season (43.6%).
  • The Titans rank T30th in the NFL in Q4 win percentage this season (15.4).
  • The Texans rank T30th in the NFL in 4th down percentage this season (37.5%).
  • The Texans rank 30th in the NFL in H2 opponent points per game this season (13.2).

Texans vs Titans Betting Prediction

Houston is coming off of a very disappointing loss to the Jets last week, where they allowed 30 points in the second half. The Texans may be without C.J. Stroud for this game, which would be a huge loss for them. Tennessee has won two of their last three games, including an insane comeback against Miami last Monday. I do like how Will Levis has played this season and I think he is going up against a below average Houston defense. Give me the Titans in this game at home. 

David’s Pick Titans -3.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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