Cowboys vs Bills Prediction - NFL Picks 12/17/23

Buffalo Bills (7-6) vs Dallas Cowboys (10-3)

Game Info: Sunday, December 17, 2023 at 4:25 pm (Highmark Stadium)

Betting Odds: Buffalo Bills -1.5 -- Over/Under: 50 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Dallas Cowboys will play the Buffalo Bills on Sunday afternoon at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, New York. Dallas comes into this game on a five game winning streak, while Buffalo has won two of their last three. Let’s take a look at the betting matchup and the Cowboys vs Bills prediction.

Cowboys Preview

The Dallas Cowboys are 10-3 this year after they defeated Philadelphia by a score of 33-13 in their last game. Dallas led 24-6 at at the half and they were able to add three more field goals in the second half for the win. The Cowboys out gained Philadelphia by a total of 394-324 and forced three turnovers in the game. Dallas has also defeated Seattle, Washington, Carolina, and the Giants during this winning streak. The Dallas offense is averaging 32.4 points per game with 262.8 passing yards per game and 118.6 rushing yards per game. Dak Prescott has thrown for 3,505 yards, 28 touchdowns, and six interceptions for the Cowboys this season. Tony Pollard has rushed for 796 yards and five touchdowns, while CeeDee Lamb has caught 96 passes for 1,253 yards and eight scores. The Dallas defense is giving up 17.9 points against per game this season.

Bills Preview

The Buffalo Bills are 7-6 this season after they defeated Kansas City by a score of 20-17 last week. Buffalo led 14-7 at halftime, but the game was tied at 17 in the fourth quarter, before they kicked the winning field goal with under two minutes left. The Bills were out gained by a total of 346-327 and forced two turnovers in the win. Buffalo lost to the Eagles in overtime in the game prior to KC, but they did defeat the Jets by a score of 32-6 in the game before that. The Buffalo offense is scoring 26.8 points per game with 256.9 passing yards per game and 122 rushing yards per game. Josh Allen has thrown for 3,447 yards, 25 touchdowns, and 14 interceptions for the Bills this season. James Cook has rushed for 789 yards and one touchdown, while Stefon Diggs has caught 87 passes for 993 yards and eight scores. The Buffalo defense is allowing 18.8 points against per game this year. 

Buffalo Bills Team Facts

  • The Bills have won each of their last seven Week 15 games.
  • The Bills have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five home games against NFC opponents.
  • The Bills have lost the first quarter in each of their last two games as favorites following a win.
  • The Bills have won the first half in seven of their last eight games at Highmark Stadium against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Bills have scored the first touchdown in nine of their last 10 games as home favorites against NFC opponents.

Dallas Cowboys Team Facts

  • The favorites have won each of the Cowboys' last 10 games.
  • The Cowboys have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 road games following a win.
  • The Cowboys have won the first quarter in each of their last five games.
  • The Cowboys have won the first half in nine of their last 10 Week 15 games.
  • The Cowboys have scored the first touchdown in each of their last four Week 15 games.

Buffalo Bills Player Prop Facts

  • Gabriel Davis has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Bills' last four December games against NFC opponents.
  • Latavius Murray has recorded 29+ rushing yards in 16 of his 18 previous December home appearances.
  • James Cook has recorded 100+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Bills' last four games.
  • Leonard Fournette has recorded 32+ receiving yards in each of his last six December appearances against NFC opponents.
  • Taylor Rapp is just one away from 10 career interceptions (including playoffs).

Dallas Cowboys Player Prop Facts

  • Dak Prescott has recorded 28+ completions in five of the Cowboys' last six games against AFC East opponents.
  • Michael Gallup has recorded 18+ receiving yards in 13 of his last 14 regular season appearances with the Cowboys as underdogs.
  • Tony Pollard has recorded 69+ rushing yards in each of the Cowboys' last four Week 15 games.
  • CeeDee Lamb has scored a touchdown in each of the Cowboys' last four games following a win.
  • Dak Prescott has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of the Cowboys' last six games following a win.
  • Tony Pollard has recorded 80+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Cowboys' last four games following a win.
  • Dak Prescott ranks 1st in the NFL in passing touchdowns (28) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Bills rank 31st in the NFL in total punt yards this season (1700).
  • The Bills rank 2nd in the NFL in 3rd down percentage this season (48.8%).
  • The Cowboys rank 32nd in the NFL in punt return yards per game this season (7.1).
  • The Cowboys rank 32nd in the NFL in total punt yards this season (1628).

Cowboys vs Bills Betting Prediction

Buffalo was able to come up with a huge win on the road in Kansas City last week, but they will play one of the best teams in the NFL here. Dallas’ offense has been crazy in recent weeks, scoring 33, 41, 45, 33, and 49 points in their last five games. Buffalo’s defense has been solid this year, but they did allow 37 points to Philadelphia two games ago. All three of Dallas’ losses so far this season have come on the road and I think we are going to see another one here. This is a tough spot for the Cowboys, as they are coming off of a huge divisional rivalry, to play a road game against a pretty desperate Bills team. Take Buffalo here. 

David’s Pick Bills ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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