Chiefs vs Patriots Prediction - NFL Picks 12/17/23

New England Patriots (3-10) vs Kansas City Chiefs (8-5)

Game Info: Sunday, December 17, 2023 at 1:00 pm (Gillette Stadium)

Betting Odds: New England Patriots +8 -- Over/Under: 37.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Kansas City Chiefs and New England Patriots face off on Sunday in an NFL showdown at Gillette Stadium. Let’s look at the betting matchup and give a free Chiefs vs Patriots prediction.

Does the Chiefs Locker Room Have Issues?

This isn’t the same Chiefs team that won the Super Bowl and there has to be some questions if there are some locker room issues. After the Chiefs last loss to the Buffalo Bills, Patrick Mahomes took some frustration on the refs, but it seemed there was more frustration than just with the refs. Too often this season the receivers have let them down. The Chiefs on the season are averaging 22.5 points while their defense is giving up 17.5 points per game. The big question again in this game for the Chiefs is will the receivers make a clutch catch when the team needs it most. If the answer is no, the team will probably lose again. 

Chiefs Betting Trends

  • The Chiefs have won each of their last nine road games following a home loss.
  • The Chiefs have covered the spread in each of their last eight games as road favorites following a home loss.
  • The home team has won the first half in six of the Chiefs' last seven Week 15 games.
  • The underdogs have won the first quarter in five of the Chiefs' last six games.
  • The Chiefs have scored the first touchdown in each of their last five games played on the East Coast.

Patriots Look for Second Straight Win

The Patriots aren’t playing for much more this season, but they can play the role of spoiler. In the last game against the Pittsburgh Steelers, the Patriots scored 21 points and they ended up winning by three points. Bailey Zappe completed 19 of his 28 passes for 240 yards, three touchdowns, and one interception. The Patriots offense overall has been an issue, but Zappe gave it some life in the last game. The Patriots on the season are averaging 13 points while their defense is giving up 20.9 points per game. Rhamondre Stevenson is still out so it will be Zeke Elliott that will get the start at running back. 

Patriots Betting Trends

  • The Patriots have lost each of their last six home games in December.
  • The Patriots have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight December games at Gillette Stadium.
  • The Patriots have lost the first half in seven of their last eight games in December.
  • The Patriots have won the first quarter in three of their last four home games against the Chiefs.
  • The Patriots have scored the first touchdown in five of their last six home games against AFC West opponents.

Chiefs vs Patriots Betting Prediction 

The Chiefs probably still win this game, but I don’t trust them laying this many points. The Chiefs receivers continue to make stupid decisions and those decisions are going to really hurt them again here. Zappe looked good in the last game and he’s going to have a big game again here. Thet Patriots offense is going to score at least 24 points here, and that is going to be enough for them to at least keep the game close. I wouldn’t be all that shocked if the Patriots were to win this game outright. Back the Patriots against the spread. 

Shane’s Pick Patriots +8

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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