Bengals vs Jaguars Prediction - NFL Picks 12/4/23

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The Cincinnati Bengals will play the Jacksonville Jaguars on Monday Night Football at EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, Florida. Cincinnati has lost three games in a row, while Jacksonville has won seven of their last eight games. Let’s take a look at the betting matchup and the Bengals vs Jaguars prediction. 

Bengals Preview

The Cincinnati Bengals are 5-6 this year after they lost to Pittsburgh by a score of 16-10 in their last game. Cincinnati led 7-3 at halftime, but Pittsburgh scored the first 13 points of the second half to pull away for the win. The Bengals were out gained by a total of 421-222 and went 2-10 on third down in the game. Cincinnati has also lost to Baltimore and Houston during this three game losing streak. The Bengals offense is scoring 19.3 points per game with 215.9 passing yards per game and 75.8 rushing yards per game. Joe Burrow is out for the Bengals, so Jake Browning will be under center once again. Browning has thrown for 295 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception for the Bengals this season. Joe Mixon has rushed for 621 yards and four touchdowns, while Ja’Marr Chase has caught 75 passes for 914 yards and six scores. The Cincinnati defense is allowing 22 points against per game this season. 

Jaguars Preview

The Jacksonville Jaguars are 8-3 this season after they defeated Houston by a score of 24-21 in their last game. Jacksonville led 13-7 at the half and extended their lead to 24-14 in the fourth quarter, but barely hung on for the win. The Jaguars out gained Houston by a total of 445-352 and turned the ball over one time in the game. Jacksonville defeated Tennessee by a score of 34-14 in the game before Houston. The Jacksonville offense is averaging 23.1 points per game with 238 passing yards per game and 106.2 rushing yards per game. Trevor Lawrence has thrown for 2,746 yards, 12 touchdowns, and seven interceptions for the Jaguars this year. Travis Etienne Jr. (questionable) has rushed for 726 yards and seven scores, while Christian Kirk has caught 56 passes for 761 yards and three touchdowns. The Jacksonville defense is giving up 20.5 points against per game this year. 

Jacksonville Jaguars Team Facts

  • The Jaguars have lost each of their last three December games as favorites.
  • The Jaguars have covered the spread in each of their last five games as favorites.
  • The Jaguars have lost the first half in each of their last seven December games at EverBank Stadium.
  • The Jaguars have lost the first quarter in each of their last eight December games at EverBank Stadium.
  • The Jaguars have scored the first touchdown in each of their last five games as favorites.

Cincinnati Bengals Team Facts

  • The Bengals have won each of their last six games in December.
  • The Bengals have covered the spread in seven of their last eight December games against AFC opponents.
  • The Bengals have scored the first touchdown in four of their last five games as underdogs against AFC South opponents.
  • The Bengals have lost the first half in each of their last four road games against AFC opponents.
  • The Bengals have won the first quarter in eight of their last nine December games as underdogs against AFC opponents.

Jacksonville Jaguars Player Prop Facts

  • Calvin Ridley has scored at least one touchdown in seven of his last nine appearances with his team as a favorite following a win.
  • Trevor Lawrence has recorded 262+ passing yards in four of the Jaguars' last five games as favorites against AFC opponents.
  • Calvin Ridley has recorded 76+ receiving yards in each of his last five December appearances.
  • Trevor Lawrence has recorded 23+ completions in six of the Jaguars' last seven games as favorites.
  • Amani Oruwariye is just one away from 10 career interceptions.

Cincinnati Bengals Player Prop Facts

  • Joe Mixon has scored at least one touchdown in eight of his last nine regular season appearances against AFC South opponents.
  • Joe Mixon has recorded 50+ rushing yards in each of his last nine December appearances against AFC opponents.
  • Tyler Boyd has recorded 52+ receiving yards in each of his last five December appearances with the Bengals as road underdogs.
  • Joe Burrow has recorded 270+ passing yards in three of his four previous road appearances against AFC South opponents.
  • Joe Mixon has recorded 70+ rushing and receiving yards in nine of his last 10 December appearances with the Bengals as underdogs against AFC opponents.
  • Joe Burrow has recorded 25+ completions in six of his eight previous appearances against AFC South opponents.
  • Joe Burrow has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of the Bengals' last four December games against AFC opponents.
  • Evan McPherson ranks T3rd in the NFL in 50+ yard field goals made (6) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Jaguars rank 2nd in the NFL in H1 opponent points per game this season (6.6).
  • The Jaguars rank 31st in the NFL in H2 opponent points per game this season (13.8).
  • The Bengals rank 2nd in the NFL in punt return yards per game this season (24.7).
  • The Bengals rank 31st in the NFL in average yards per punt this season (44.5).

Bengals vs Jaguars Betting Prediction

Cincinnati comes into this matchup on a three game losing streak and without Joe Burrow, so this game could get ugly. The Bengals were only able to score 10 points last week and I don’t see it getting much better here. Jacksonville is one of the hottest teams in the NFL right now and they will be at home. The Jaguars defense has played well in three of their last four games and they should have no problem shutting down the Bengals here. Take the Jaguars at home in this game. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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