Falcons vs Jets Prediction - NFL Picks 12/3/23

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The Atlanta Falcons will play the New York Jets on Sunday afternoon at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey. Atlanta has lost three of their last four games, while New York is on a four game losing streak. Let’s take a look at the betting matchup and the Falcons vs Jets prediction.

Falcons Preview

The Atlanta Falcons are 5-6 this year after they defeated New Orleans by a score of 24-15 in their last game. Atlanta did a great job of forcing New Orleans to kick field goals, as the Saints kicked five of them in the game. The Falcons were out gained by a total of 444-396 and both teams turned the ball over two times in the game. Atlanta had lost their previous three games against Arizona, Minnesota, and Tennessee. The Falcons offense is averaging 19.4 points per game with 201.5 passing yards per game and 139.3 rushing yards per game. Desmond Ridder has thrown for 1,908 yards, seven touchdowns, and eight interceptions for the Falcons this season. Bijan Robinson has rushed for 703 yards and three touchdowns, while Drake London has caught 45 passes for 565 yards and two scores. The Atlanta defense is giving up 21.1 points against per game this year. 

Jets Preview

The New York Jets are 4-7 this season after they lost to Miami by a score of 34-13 in their last game. New York trailed 17-6 at the half and it got even worse in the second half for the loss. The Jets were out gained by a total of 395-159 and forced three turnovers in the game. New York has also lost to the Bills, Raiders, and Chargers during this four game losing streak. The Jets offense is scoring 14.8 points per game with 166.8 passing yards per game and 93.4 rushing yards per game. Tim Boyle has thrown for 212 yards, one touchdown, and three interceptions for the Jets this season. Breece Hall (questionable) has rushed for 569 yards and two touchdowns, while Garrett Wilson has caught 64 passes for 695 yards and three scores. The Jets defense is allowing 21.6 points against per game this season. 

New York Jets Team Facts

  • The Jets have lost each of their last nine games as underdogs against NFC South opponents.
  • The Jets have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games at MetLife Stadium against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Jets have lost the first half in each of their last nine games as underdogs.
  • The Jets have lost the first quarter in each of their last nine games as underdogs.
  • Each of the Jets' last five Week 13 games as underdogs have gone OVER the total points line.

Atlanta Falcons Team Facts

  • The Falcons have lost each of their last eight road games following a win.
  • The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the Falcons' last seven games.
  • The Falcons have lost the first quarter in six of their last seven games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Falcons have scored the first touchdown in four of their last five Sunday games played on the East Coast.
  • The road team has won the first half in seven of the Falcons' last eight Week 13 games.

New York Jets Player Prop Facts

  • Dalvin Cook has scored a touchdown in each of his five previous December appearances with his team as an underdog against NFC opponents.
  • Dalvin Cook has recorded 14+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his 32 previous Sunday regular season home appearances.
  • Zach Wilson has recorded 240+ passing yards in three of his last four appearances at MetLife Stadium.
  • Randall Cobb has recorded 11+ receiving yards in 17 of his 18 previous regular season appearances against NFC South opponents.
  • Dalvin Cook has recorded 12+ rushing yards in each of his 32 previous Sunday regular season home appearances.
  • Xavier Gipson ranks 1st in the AFC for kick return yards (283) this season.

Atlanta Falcons Player Prop Facts

  • Bijan Robinson has scored at least one touchdown in three of the Falcons' last four Sunday games.
  • Van Jefferson has recorded 14+ receiving yards in each of his last 12 regular season appearances against AFC opponents.
  • Desmond Ridder has recorded 237+ passing yards in each of his last three appearances with the Falcons as favorites on the East Coast.
  • Tyler Allgeier has recorded 39+ rushing yards in each of the Falcons' last 13 games played on the East Coast.
  • Desmond Ridder has recorded 19+ completions in each of the Falcons' last three games following a home win.
  • Bijan Robinson has recorded 80+ rushing and receiving yards in three of the Falcons' last four games following a home win.
  • Taylor Heinicke has thrown two touchdowns in three of his last four road appearances in December.
  • Jessie Bates III ranks T3rd in the NFL in interceptions (4) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Jets rank 32nd in the NFL in red zone percentage this season (28.0%).
  • The Jets rank 32nd in the NFL in H1 win percentage this season (18.2).
  • The Falcons rank 31st in the NFL in punt return yards per game this season (8.0).
  • The Falcons rank T3rd in the NFL in Q4 win percentage this season (63.6).

Falcons vs Jets Betting Prediction 

Atlanta was able to get a huge win over the Saints last week and they are tied for first in the NFC South, despite having a losing record. On the other side, New York has lost four games in a row and the last two have been pretty ugly. The Jets were out scored by a total of 66-19 against Miami and Buffalo, and they are only 2-4 at home. Atlanta’s offense has played decently well over the last four games, but their defense has been an issue, allowing 25+ points in three of their last four games. I think this is a matchup that favors Atlanta, as the Jets don’t have the offensive attack to take advantage of the Atlanta defense. Take the Falcons here. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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