Colts vs Titans Prediction - NFL Picks 12/3/23

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The Indianapolis Colts will play the Tennessee Titans on Sunday afternoon at Nissan Stadium in Nashville, Tennessee. Indianapolis comes into this game on a three game winning streak, while Tennessee has dropped three of their last four games. Let’s take a look at the betting matchup and the Colts vs Titans prediction.

Colts Preview

The Indianapolis Colts are 6-5 this season after they defeated Tampa Bay by a score of 27-20 in their last game. Indianapolis led 17-10 at halftime and were able to maintain their lead throughout the second half for the win. The Colts out gained Tampa Bay by a total of 394-298 and forced two turnovers in the game. Indianapolis has also defeated New England and Carolina during this winning streak. The Colts offense is scoring 24.5 points per game with 220 passing yards per game and 121.4 rushing yards per game. Gardner Minshew has thrown for 1,972 yards, eight touchdowns, and seven interceptions for the Colts this season. Zack Moss has rushed for 672 yards and five scores, while Michael Pittman Jr. has caught 76 passes for 784 yards and three touchdowns. The Indianapolis defense is allowing 24.4 points against per game this season. 

Titans Preview

The Tennessee Titans are 4-7 this year after they defeated Carolina by a score of 17-10 last week. Tennessee led 17-3 at halftime and they were able to hang on for the win, despite not scoring in the second half. The Titans out gained Carolina by a total of 264-258 and forced one turnover in the game. Tennessee had lost their previous three games against Jacksonville, Tampa Bay, and Pittsburgh. The Titans offense is averaging 16.8 points per game with 181.3 passing yards per game and 102.7 rushing yards per game. Will Levis has thrown for 1,042 yards, six touchdowns, and two interceptions for the Titans this season. Derrick Henry has rushed for 739 yards and six scores, while DeAndre Hopkins (questionable) has caught 45 passes for 699 yards and four touchdowns. The Tennessee defense is giving up 20.4 points against per game this year. 

Tennessee Titans Team Facts

  • The home team has won each of the Titans' last five games.
  • The Titans have failed to cover the spread in 11 of their last 12 December games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
  • The Titans have won the first quarter in each of their last two games as home underdogs following a home win.
  • The Titans have scored the first touchdown in each of their last four home games against AFC South opponents.
  • The Titans have lost the first half in each of their last four home games in December.

Indianapolis Colts Team Facts

  • The Colts have lost three of their last four games as favorites following a home win.
  • The Colts have covered the spread in each of their last four December games as favorites against the Titans.
  • The Colts have won the first half in each of their last eight December games as favorites against AFC opponents.
  • The Colts have won the first quarter in each of their last nine December games as favorites.
  • The Colts have scored the first touchdown in each of their last four Sunday games.

Tennessee Titans Player Prop Facts

  • Nick Westbrook-Ikhine has scored a touchdown in three of the Titans' last four games at Nissan Stadium.
  • Tyjae Spears has recorded 27+ rushing yards in three of the Titans' last four games at Nissan Stadium.
  • Nick Westbrook-Ikhine has recorded 23+ receiving yards in eight of the Titans' last nine games at Nissan Stadium.
  • Ryan Stonehouse ranks 1st in the AFC amongst qualified players for gross average yards per punt (52.9) this season.

Indianapolis Colts Player Prop Facts

  • Gardner Minshew II has thrown two touchdowns in three of his last four road appearances in December.
  • Zack Moss has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last four appearances against division opponents.
  • Michael Pittman Jr. has recorded 77+ receiving yards in four of the Colts' last five games against AFC opponents.
  • Zack Moss has recorded 88+ rushing yards in three of his last four appearances against division opponents.
  • Zack Moss has recorded 107+ rushing and receiving yards in three of his last four appearances against division opponents.
  • Matt Gay ranks T1st in the AFC for 50+ yard field goals made (7) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Titans rank 32nd in the NFL in Q4 win percentage this season (9.1).
  • The Titans rank 31st in the NFL in red zone percentage this season (38.7%).
  • The Colts rank 29th in the NFL in kickoff return yards per game this season (10.7).
  • The Colts have scored the last touchdown in four consecutive games - equal-longest streak in the league.

Colts vs Titans Betting Prediction

Indianapolis comes into this matchup on a three game winning streak, but they have beaten Tampa Bay, New England, and Carolina, who have been pretty easy opponents. Tennessee snapped their three game losing streak with a win over Carolina, but they have struggled in their last four games. The Titans play their best football at home, where they are 4-1, while Indianapolis is also 4-1 on the road. This Titans offense has not been very good in their last four games and I think we are in for a low scoring game here. Take the under in this one. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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