Chargers vs Patriots Prediction - NFL Picks 12/3/23

New England Patriots (2-9) vs Los Angeles Chargers (4-7)

Game Info: Sunday, December 3, 2023 at 1:00 pm (Gillette Stadium)

Betting Odds: New England Patriots +5.5 -- Over/Under: 40 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Los Angeles Chargers and New England Patriots face off on Sunday in an NFL showdown at Gillette Stadium. Let’s look at the betting matchup and give a free Chargers vs Patriots prediction.

Chargers Continue to Lose

The Chargers continue to lose and now making the playoffs is going to be tough. The Chargers have lost three straight games against the Detroit Lions, Green Bay Packers, and Baltimore Ravens. In the last game against the Ravens, the Chargers offense only managed 10 points and they ended up losing by 10 points. Justin Herbert did have another solid game, it just wasn’t enough as he passed for 217 yards, one touchdown, and one interception. The Chargers again had a chance late to secure the victory, but the offense couldn’t get the job done. The Chargers on the season is averaging 24.5 points while their defense is giving up 23.5 points per game. The offense is ranked 8th but they need to start finishing games. 

Chargers Betting Trends

  • The Chargers have lost four of their last five Week 13 games as favorites.
  • The Chargers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five Week 13 games as favorites.
  • The Chargers have lost the first quarter in three of their last four Week 13 games as favorites against AFC opponents.
  • The underdogs have won the first half in each of the Chargers' last four Week 13 games.
  • The Chargers have scored the first touchdown in nine of their last 10 games as favorites

Who’s Starting at Quarterback for the Patriots?

The big question for the Patriots heading into this game is who is going to start at quarterback. In the last game against the New York Giants, the Patriots played both Mac Jones and Bailey Zappe and neither really impressed. The offense managed only seven points total and they are going to need to find a way to get the offense going early. The only real bright spot for the offense was running back Rhamondre Stevenson who finished with 98 yards and a touchdown. The Patriots overall this season is averaging 13.5 points while their defense is giving up 22.5 points per game. Whoever starts at quarterback in this game is going to need to have a big game. 

Patriots Betting Trends

  • The Patriots have lost each of their last five Sunday games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Patriots have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven December games at Gillette Stadium.
  • The Patriots have lost the first quarter in four of their last five Sunday games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Patriots have lost the first half in seven of their last eight games as underdogs following a road loss.
  • The Patriots have scored the first touchdown in seven of their last eight Week 13 games.

Chargers vs Patriots Betting Prediction

It doesn’t matter who starts at quarterback for the Patriots, they aren’t going to have much of a shot in this game. This Patriots offense is awful averaging only 13.5 points per game and they are going to really struggle to get the offense going here. I have a feeling it’s going to be Zappe who starts here, but I don’t have a whole lot of confidence that he’s going to be any better than Jones. The Patriots are going to really struggle to get the offense going here, and it’s going to be the Chargers that are going to find success here. Back the Chargers against the spread here. 

Shane’s Pick Chargers -5.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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