Patriots vs Giants Prediction - NFL Picks 11/26/23

New York Giants (3-8) vs New England Patriots (2-8)

Game Info: Sunday, November 26, 2023 at 1:00 pm (MetLife Stadium)

Betting Odds: New York Giants +3.5 -- Over/Under: 33.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The New England Patriots and New York Giants face off on Saturday in an NFL showdown at MetLife Stadium. Take a look at our Patriots vs Giants Prediction.

Who Starts at Quarterback for the Patriots?

Bill Belichick has been pretty quiet about who is going to start this weekend for the Patriots, but Mac Jones did make some hints that it’s him. I don’t think that is the right play for the Patriots, but it seems it will probably be Mac Jones here. The Patriots are averaging 14.1 points while their defense is giving up 23.8 points per game. The offense is ranked 31st in the league and that’s the biggest reason why I believe they should really look into making that change. It’s already a wasted season, why not see if someone else is the answer at quarterback? Trent Brown is dealing with an ankle injury and it’s unclear if he’s going to be able to go in this game. 

Patriots Betting Trends

  • The Patriots have won each of their last six Sunday games at MetLife Stadium.
  • The Patriots have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four Sunday games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Patriots have won the first half in six of their last seven November games as favorites against NFC opponents.
  • The Patriots have lost the first quarter in each of their last four Sunday games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Eight of the Patriots' last nine Sunday games as favorites have gone UNDER the total points line.

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Can Tommy Devito Do it Again for the Giants?

After some struggles in the first game, Tommy Devito looked a whole lot better in the last game. Against the Washington Commanders, he completed 18 of his 26 passes for 246 yards and three touchdowns. Saquon Barkley also finished with 14 carries for 83 yards. The Giants are averaging 13.5 points while their defense is giving up 25.9 points per game. The offense is ranked 32nd  while the defense is ranked 28th. The defense is going to need to try and create a few turnovers in this game to take the pressure off of Devito.

Giants Betting Trends

  • The Giants have lost each of their last eight games as underdogs against AFC East opponents.
  • The Giants have covered the spread in each of their last five November home games against AFC opponents.
  • The Giants have won the first quarter in three of their last four November games as home underdogs.
  • The Giants have lost the first half in each of their last seven games following a win.
  • Each of the Giants' last six games as home underdogs following a win have gone UNDER the total points line.

Shane’s Free Pick

We are trusting the Patriots to lay any number of points with whoever they start at quarterback? I don’t think so. Devito sure looked good in the last game and he’s going to have another big game here. Mac Jones is going to continue to make stupid decisions for the Patriots and that is going to be the difference here. The Giants can win this game outright. Back the Giants against the spread. 

Shane’s Pick Giants +3.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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