Indianapolis Colts (5-5) vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-6)
Game Info: Sunday, November 26, 2023 at 1:00 pm (Lucas Oil Stadium)
Betting Odds: Indianapolis Colts -2.5 -- Over/Under: 44.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will play the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday afternoon at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, Indiana. Tampa Bay has lost five of their last six games, while Indianapolis has won two games in a row. Take a look at our Buccaneers vs Colts Prediction.
Buccaneers Preview
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are 4-6 this season after they lost to San Francisco by a score of 27-14 in their last game. Tampa Bay trailed 13-7 at halftime, but the 49ers extended the lead to 27-7 in the third. The Buccaneers were out gained by a total of 420-287 and turned the ball over two times in the loss. Tampa Bay’s only win in their last six games came against Tennessee by a score of 20-6 in the game prior to San Francisco. The Tampa Bay offense is averaging 19.2 points per game with 227.8 passing yards per game and 76.9 rushing yards per game. Baker Mayfield has thrown for 2,389 yards, 15 touchdowns, and six interceptions for the Buccaneers this season. Rachaad White has rushed for 459 yards and four scores, while Mike Evans has caught 48 passes for 780 yards and seven touchdowns. The Tampa Bay defense is giving up 20 points against per game this year.
Colts Preview
The Indianapolis Colts are 5-5 this year after they defeated the New England Patriots by a score of 10-6 in their last game. Indianapolis led 7-3 at the half and they were able to hold New England to only three points in the second half for the win. The Colts also defeated the Panthers by a score of 27-13 in the game prior to New England. The Indianapolis offense is scoring 24.2 points per game with 218.1 passing yards per game and 118 rushing yards per game. Gardner Minshew has thrown for 1,721 yards, eight touchdowns, and six interceptions for the Colts this year. Zack Moss has rushed for 617 yards and five scores, while Michael Pittman Jr. has caught 66 passes for 677 yards and three touchdowns. The Indianapolis defense is allowing 24.8 points against per game this season.
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Indianapolis Colts Team Facts
- The Colts have lost each of their last five home games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Colts have covered the spread in each of their last six November games as favorites against NFC opponents.
- The Colts have lost the first half in each of their last seven games at Lucas Oil Stadium against teams that held a losing record.
- The Colts have lost the first quarter in four of their last five Sunday games as home favorites.
- Five of the Colts' last six home games have gone OVER the total points line.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Team Facts
- The Buccaneers have won seven of their last eight interstate games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The Buccaneers have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games as underdogs before a Division game.
- The Buccaneers have won the first quarter in three of their last four games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
- The Buccaneers have won the first half in four of their last five games as underdogs following a road loss.
- Seven of the Buccaneers' last eight games have gone UNDER the total points line.
Indianapolis Colts Player Prop Facts
- Alec Pierce has recorded 42+ receiving yards in four of the Colts' last five games as home favorites.
- Jonathan Taylor has recorded 83+ rushing yards in each of his last six November appearances at Lucas Oil Stadium.
- Jonathan Taylor has scored at least one touchdown in eight of his last nine appearances with the Colts as favorites following a win.
- Zack Moss has recorded 62+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last six appearances at Lucas Oil Stadium.
- Matt Gay ranks T1st in the NFL in 50+ yard field goals made (7) this season.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Player Prop Facts
- Mike Evans has scored the last touchdown in three of the Buccaneers' last four games following a loss.
- Baker Mayfield has thrown two or more touchdowns in five of his last six appearances with his team as an underdog following a loss.
- Baker Mayfield has recorded 258+ passing yards in each of his four previous road appearances against AFC South opponents.
- Mike Evans has recorded 64+ receiving yards in each of the Buccaneers' last four November games a road underdogs against AFC opponents.
- Russell Gage has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last four Sunday appearances with his team as an underdog.
- Rachaad White has recorded 98+ rushing and receiving yards in four of the Buccaneers' last five games.
- Baker Mayfield has recorded 21+ completions in each of the Buccaneers' last five games as road underdogs.
- Mike Evans ranks T1st in the NFC for receiving touchdowns (7) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Colts rank T4th in the NFL in Q4 win percentage this season (60.0).
- The Colts rank T6th in the NFL in forced fumbles this season (11).
- The Buccaneers rank 4th in the NFL in average yards per punt this season (50.0).
- The Buccaneers rank 4th in the NFL in 4th down percentage this season (63.6%).
Buccaneers vs Colts Prediction Breakdown
Neither one of these teams has been very good this season, but the Colts will be at home and they are on a two game winning streak. Indianapolis has taken advantage of playing New England and Carolina in their last two games, but they are still two games out of first in the AFC South. Tampa Bay has only won one of their last six games and their offense is only scoring 19.2 points per game this year. I don’t love either side in this matchup, but I am going to take the Colts at home. Indianapolis should have some positive momentum, while Tampa Bay’s offense is going to hold them back once again.
David’s Pick Colts -2.5
AUTHOR: David Racey
Mitch's Take...
