Browns vs Broncos Prediction - NFL Picks 11/26/23

Denver Broncos (5-5) vs Cleveland Browns (7-3)

Game Info: Sunday, November 26, 2023 at 4:05 pm (Empower Field at Mile High)

Betting Odds: Denver Broncos -1.5 -- Over/Under: 36.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Cleveland Browns will play the Denver Broncos on Sunday afternoon at Mile High Stadium in Denver, Colorado. Cleveland has won three games in a row, while Denver has won four in a row. This is our Browns vs Broncos Prediction.

Browns Preview

The Cleveland Browns are 7-3 this season after they defeated Pittsburgh by a score of 13-10 last week. Cleveland led 10-0 at the half, but Pittsburgh tied the game at 10 in the fourth quarter, before Cleveland won on a field goal with a couple of seconds left. The Browns out gained Pittsburgh by a total of 259-249 and held them to only 3-14 on third down. Cleveland has also defeated Baltimore and Arizona during this three game winning streak. The Cleveland offense is scoring 22.7 points against per game with 183.1 passing yards per game and 142.7 rushing yards per game. Dorian Thompson-Robinson has thrown for 295 yards and four interceptions for the Browns this season. Jerome Ford has rushed for 563 yards and three touchdowns, while Amari Cooper (questionable) has caught 45 passes for 749 yards and two scores. The Cleveland defense is allowing 18 points against per game this year. 

Broncos Preview

The Denver Broncos are 5-5 this year after they defeated Minnesota by a score of 21-20 in their last game. Denver trailed 17-9 in the fourth quarter, but they scored 12 points in the fourth for the win. The Broncos were out gained by a total of 385-295, but did force three turnovers in the game. Denver has also defeated Buffalo, Kansas City, and Green Bay during this winning streak. The Denver offense is averaging 21.7 points per game with 191 passing yards per game and 110.2 rushing yards per game. Russell Wilson has thrown for 2,065 yards, 19 touchdowns, and four interceptions for the Broncos this season. Javonte Williams has rushed for 473 yards, while Courtland Sutton has caught 45 passes for 499 yards and eight scores. The Denver defense is giving up 26.8 points against per game this season.

Denver Broncos Team Facts

  • The Broncos have lost each of their last five November games as home favorites against AFC opponents.
  • The Broncos have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 11 games as favorites against AFC opponents.
  • The Broncos have won the first half in each of their last five November games against AFC opponents.
  • The Broncos have won the first quarter in each of their last three home games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Broncos have scored the first touchdown in four of their last five games at Empower Field at Mile High.

Cleveland Browns Team Facts

  • The Browns have lost seven of their last eight games against AFC West opponents.
  • The home team has covered the spread in each of the Browns' last four Week 12 games.
  • The favorites have won the first half in 15 of the Browns' last 16 games.
  • The Browns have lost the first quarter in each of their last four road games.
  • The Browns have scored the first touchdown in 15 of their last 20 games against AFC opponents.

Denver Broncos Player Prop Facts

  • Russell Wilson has thrown three touchdowns in three of the Broncos' last five home games against AFC opponents.
  • Russell Wilson has recorded 207+ passing yards in 15 of his last 16 November home appearances.
  • Jerry Jeudy has recorded 50+ receiving yards in each of his last six home appearances against AFC opponents.
  • Russell Wilson has recorded 21+ rushing yards in each of his last four appearances against AFC North opponents.
  • Courtland Sutton has scored a touchdown in each of the Broncos' last five games.
  • Javonte Williams has recorded 96+ rushing and receiving yards in three of the Broncos' last four games.
  • Courtland Sutton ranks 2nd in the NFL in receiving touchdowns (8) this season.

Cleveland Browns Player Prop Facts

  • Kareem Hunt has recorded 33+ rushing yards in each of his seven previous regular season road appearances against AFC West opponents.
  • Nick Chubb has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last four appearances against AFC West opponents.
  • Deshaun Watson has recorded 253+ passing yards in seven of his eight previous appearances against AFC West opponents.
  • Nick Chubb has recorded 12+ receiving yards in each of his last seven Sunday appearances with the Browns as underdogs.
  • Kareem Hunt has recorded 49+ rushing and receiving yards in 12 of his 13 previous regular season appearances against AFC West opponents.
  • Deshaun Watson has recorded 25+ completions in four of his last five regular season appearances against AFC West opponents.
  • Deshaun Watson has thrown two or more touchdowns in three of his last four appearances in November.
  • Dustin Hopkins ranks 1st in the NFL in made field goals (26) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Broncos rank T1st in the NFL in fumbles recovered this season (9).
  • The Broncos rank 1st in the NFL in average kickoff return (33.6 yards) this season.
  • The Browns rank 1st in the NFL in time of possession per game this season (33:55).
  • The Browns rank 1st in the NFL in Q2 win percentage this season (90.0).

Browns vs Broncos Prediction Breakdown

Both of these teams come into this game on a winning streak, but Denver will have the home field advantage here. The Broncos have really turned it around after a slow start to the year and their defense has been very good in their last five games. Cleveland also has a very good defense, but their offense has a lot of question marks. The Browns are starting DTR, who hasn’t looked very good this season, but he did lead them to a win last week. I can’t believe how the Broncos have turned their season around and I like them in this spot once again. I could see their offense starting slow against the Cleveland defense, but I don’t trust Cleveland to score more than 10-14 points. Take Denver at home here. 

David’s Pick Broncos -1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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