Bills at Eagles Prediction - NFL Picks 11/26/23

Philadelphia Eagles (9-1) vs Buffalo Bills (6-5)

Game Info: Sunday, November 26, 2023 at 4:25 pm (Lincoln Financial Field)

Betting Odds: Philadelphia Eagles -3 -- Over/Under: 48.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Philadelphia Eagles will host the Buffalo Bills this Sunday from Lincoln Financial Field on CBS. The Eagles come into this contest as 3-point favorites, with the total hovering 48.5. Have a look at our Bills vs Eagles Prediction.

Buffalo Bills Preview

Buffalo moved to 6-5 after defeating the Jets at home, 32-6. The Bills got back into the win column with a strong divisional win over the Jets, and they’ll look to avoid dropping back to .500 this weekend. The Buffalo offense is scoring 26.7 ppg, while passing for 261.4 ypg, rushing for 118.2 ypg, and converting 48.1% of their third downs.

Bills Player Props

Josh Allen had a strong outing versus the Jets, passing for 275 yards with three touchdowns to an interception. The 2x Pro Bowler did well by avoiding a second straight home loss, but this spot at Lincoln could prove to be very challenging. Allen has passed for 2,875 yards, with 22 touchdowns to 12 interceptions thru eleven games.

James Cook totaled 102 yards in the win over New York, and he leads Buffalo in rushing with 688 yards on 137 touches.

Stefon Diggs was quiet thru both home games against the Broncos and Jets, but he leads the Bills in receptions (77) and receiving yards (895). 

Dalton Kincaid has caught five passes or more in five straight games, and he’s posting splits of 51/436/2.

• The Buffalo defense has allowed 17.3 ppg. 

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Philadelphia Eagles Preview

Philadelphia jumped to 9-1 after defeating Kansas City at Arrowhead, 21-17. The Eagles caught a big break on the road, as the Chiefs squandered in the second half at home, and they’ll look to down another AFC heavyweight this Sunday. The Philly offense is scoring 27.3 ppg, while passing for 249.7 ypg, rushing for 128.1 ypg, and converting 48.2 % of their third downs.

Eagles Player Props

Jalen Hurts furthered his MVP case by quarterbacking Philly to a victory in KC, passing for 150 yards and rushing for a pair of scores. The former OU QB failed to toss a score for the first time this season, but it didn’t matter, as his leadership helped the Eagles tack on another signature win. Hurts has passed for 2,497 yards, with 15 touchdowns to nine interceptions, and he’s rushed for 345 yards and nine more scores on the ground. 

D’Andre Swift scored for the fourth time last week, and he leads the Eagles in rushing yards (690). 

A.J. Brown was neutralized last week, but he’s among the NFL’s leaders with 68 receptions for 1,013 receiving yards.

Devonta Smith posted another 99-yard outing, and he’s posting solid splits of 48/642/4. 

• The Philly defense is allowing 21.2 points per game.   

Buffalo vs Philadelphia Trends

BUF is 4-7 against the spread, with a 3-8 O/U record. 

PHI is 6-2-2 ATS, with a 5-5 over/under record.

Corey’s Free Pick

Buffalo comes into a very tough spot, and it’s simply hard to warrant trusting Josh Allen on the road, especially in Philadelphia. Allen hasn’t played poor thru three road starts, but it’s the overall inconsistency, tacked on with facing his stiffest challenge of the season in the Philly defense. There’s also little reason to look away from an Eagles that just finds ways to win every time. Aside from a bad loss in New York to the Jets, similar to Buffalo’s season-opening defeat, Philadelphia has been sharp, especially down the stretch in these close ball games.

After catching a break and getting one over on their former coach Big Red, look for the Eagles to be sharper here at home, and capitalize on the expected turnovers from Allen. I’d love to see a shootout in what was viewed as a Super Bowl preview before the season, but the Under will likely be in play if Nick Sirianni’s team brings a lead into the second half. My pick for this game is trusting what we’ve seen from these two heavyweights up until this point, and that’s trusting Philadelphia at home.

Corey’s Pick Eagles to Cover

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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