Eagles vs Chiefs Prediction - NFL Picks 11/20/23

Kansas City Chiefs Team Facts

• The Chiefs have won each of their last 13 home games before a Division game.
• The Chiefs have covered the spread in seven of their last eight home games before a Division game.
• The Chiefs have won the first half in each of their last 10 games as home favorites.
• The Chiefs have scored the first touchdown in 10 of their last 11 games as home favorites.
• The Chiefs have won the first quarter in each of their last three Monday games against teams that held a winning record.

Philadelphia Eagles Team Facts

• The Eagles have won seven of their last eight games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Eagles have covered the spread in each of their last six Monday games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Eagles have lost the first half in each of their last seven Week 11 road games.
• The Eagles have scored the first touchdown in each of their last five road games against AFC West opponents.
• The Eagles have won the first quarter in each of their last three road games against teams that held a winning record.

Kansas City Chiefs Player Prop Facts

• Travis Kelce has scored the first touchdown in each of the Chiefs' last three November home games against NFC opponents.
• Patrick Mahomes II has recorded 30+ completions in three of the Chiefs' last four games as favorites following a win.
• Travis Kelce has scored a touchdown in six of his last seven appearances with the Chiefs as favorites against NFC opponents.
• Isiah Pacheco has recorded 66+ rushing yards in each of the Chiefs' last four November games.
• Marquez Valdes-Scantling has recorded 41+ receiving yards in each of his last four November appearances against NFC opponents.
• Patrick Mahomes II has thrown two or more touchdowns in seven of the Chiefs' last eight games at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.
• Isiah Pacheco has recorded 78+ rushing and receiving yards in three of the Chiefs' last four home games against NFC opponents.
• George Karlaftis ranks T2nd in the NFL in quarterback hurries (13) this season.

Philadelphia Eagles Player Prop Facts

• Jalen Hurts has scored at least one touchdown in five of the Eagles' last six games against AFC opponents.
• Jalen Hurts has thrown two or more touchdowns in four of his last five regular season appearances with the Eagles as road underdogs.
• Jalen Hurts has recorded 47+ rushing yards in each of the Eagles' last five games against AFC West opponents.
• Jalen Hurts has recorded 277+ passing yards in six of the Eagles' last seven games.
• Jalen Hurts has recorded 22+ completions in each of the Eagles' last five games against AFC opponents.
• Julio Jones has recorded 14+ receiving yards in each of his 13 previous Monday appearances.
• Kenneth Gainwell has recorded 24+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Eagles' last five regular season games as road underdogs.
• A.J. Brown ranks 2nd in the NFL in receiving yards (1005) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Chiefs rank 32nd in the NFL in Q4 points per game this season (2.1).
• The Chiefs rank 32nd in the NFL in H2 points per game this season (5.9).
• The Eagles rank 1st in the NFL in 4th down percentage this season (76.5%).
• The Eagles rank 1st in the NFL in 3rd down percentage this season (50.0%).

Pick

The Eagles come into this game with only one loss on the season, but they barely escaped with a win in their last game against Dallas. Philadelphia has one of the best scoring offenses in the NFL, but their defense has allowed 54 points in their last two games. Kansas City does not have their usual high scoring offense that we are used to seeing, but their defense is only allowing 15.9 points against per game this year. The Eagles have been a little lucky to get out of their last two games without a loss, but I think that changes here. The Kansas City defense is going to be the difference in this game and I like them to get the win.