Steelers vs Browns Prediction - NFL Picks 11/19/23

Cleveland Browns (6-3) vs Pittsburgh Steelers (6-3)

Game Info: Sunday, November 19, 2023 at 1:00 pm (Cleveland Browns Stadium)

Betting Odds: Cleveland Browns -1.5 -- Over/Under: 33 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Pittsburgh Steelers and Cleveland Browns face off on Sunday in an NHL showdown at FirstEnergy Stadium.

Steelers Continue to Win

The Steelers haven’t looked dominant with the stats but they continue to win games. In the last game against the Green Bay Packers, but they didn’t look good, but they made just enough plays to secure the 23-19 victory. Running back Jaylen Warren had a strong game putting up 101 yards and a touchdown. Overall this season the Steelers are averaging 17.3 points while their defense is giving up 20.2 points per game. The defense is ranked 11th, and has kept them in games. In this game, Kenny Pickett is going to need to have a big game and really put some pressure on the Browns. 

Steelers Betting Trends

  • The Steelers have won each of their last four Sunday games as road underdogs.
  • The Steelers have covered the spread in each of their last five road games following a home win.
  • The Steelers have lost the first half in 11 of their last 12 road games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Steelers have lost the first quarter in each of their last four Week 11 games.
  • Each of the Steelers' last six Sunday games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total points line.

Dorian Thompson-Robinson to Start for the Browns

With Deshaun Watson being ruled out for the season the Browns are going to turn to rookie Dorian Thompson Robinson to get the start. He was a standout with the UCLA Bruins, but he’s still young, and this is a big spot where he’s going to be tested. Last Sunday the Browns faced off against the Baltimore Ravens and they ended up winning 33-31. Running back Jerome Ford finished with 17 carries for 107 yards. The Browns are averaging 23.8 points while their defense is giving up 18.9 points per game.

Browns Betting Trends

  • The Browns have lost each of their last four games as favorites following a Division win.
  • The Browns have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games following a road win.
  • The Browns have lost the first quarter in each of their last five games following a win.
  • The Browns have scored the first touchdown in 15 of their last 16 home games against AFC North opponents.
  • The Browns have lost the first half in each of their last seven Sunday games against teams that held a winning record.

Shane’s Free Pick

This is going to be an ugly game. The Steelers can’t be trusted to score with their offense and I also don’t expect Dorian Thompson Robinson to find a whole lot of success. The Browns are giving up only 18.9 points per game. If this game ended 10-6 it wouldn’t be that shocking to anyone. There isn’t a strong play on the side but bad quarterback play all around is going to keep this game under the total.

Shane’s Pick Under

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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