Raiders vs Dolphins Prediction - NFL Picks 11/19/23

Miami Dolphins (6-3) vs Las Vegas Raiders (5-5)

Game Info: Sunday, November 19, 2023 at 1:00 pm (Hard Rock Stadium)

Betting Odds: Miami Dolphins -12.5 -- Over/Under: 46.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Las Vegas Raiders will play the Miami Dolphins on Sunday afternoon at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida. Las Vegas has won two games in a row, while Miami has dropped two of their last three games. 

Raiders Preview

The Las Vegas Raiders are 5-5 this season after they defeated the New York Jets by a score of 16-12 in their last game. Las Vegas trailed 9-6 at halftime, but they won the second half by a total of 10-3 for the win. The Raiders were out gained by a total of 365-274 and turned the ball over two times in the game. Las Vegas defeated the Giants by a score of 30-6 in the game prior to the Jets. The Raiders are scoring 17.2 points per game with 192.1 passing yards per game and 83.3 rushing yards per game. Aidan O’Connell has thrown for 675 yards, two touchdowns, and three interceptions for the Raiders this season. Josh Jacobs has rushed for 622 yards and five scores, while Davante Adams has caught 57 passes for 659 yards and three touchdowns. The Las Vegas defense is giving up 20.5 points against per game this season.

Dolphins Preview

The Miami Dolphins are 6-3 this year after they lost to the Kansas City Chiefs by a score of 21-14 in their last game. Miami trailed 21-0 at the half, but they were able to score twice in the second half to make it close. The Dolphins out gained Kansas City by a total of 292-267 and went 3-12 on third down in the loss. Miami has also lost to Buffalo and Philadelphia so far this season. The Dolphins are averaging 31.7 points per game with 287.4 passing yards per game and 147.9 rushing yards per game. Tua Tagovailoa has thrown for 2,609 yards, 19 touchdowns, and seven interceptions for the Dolphins this year. Raheem Mostert (questionable) has rushed for 605 yards and 11 scores, while Tyreek Hill has caught 69 passes for 1,076 yards and eight touchdowns. The Miami defense is allowing 25 points against per game this year. 

Miami Dolphins Team Facts

  • The Dolphins have won each of their last seven home games in November.
  • The Dolphins have covered the spread in each of their last seven home games in November.
  • The underdogs have won the first quarter in each of the last three games between the Raiders and Dolphins.
  • The Dolphins have scored the first touchdown in each of their last four home games against AFC West opponents.
  • The Dolphins have won the first half in each of their last seven November games at Hard Rock Stadium.

Las Vegas Raiders Team Facts

  • The Raiders have won each of their last four November games as underdogs.
  • The home team has covered the spread in each of the Raiders' last seven games.
  • The Raiders have won the first quarter in each of their last two Sunday games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Raiders have scored the first touchdown in five of their last six games.
  • The Raiders have lost the first half in seven of their last eight November games as road underdogs against AFC opponents.

Miami Dolphins Player Prop Facts

  • Tua Tagovailoa has recorded 285+ passing yards in each of his last four appearances with the Dolphins as home favorites against AFC opponents.
  • Tua Tagovailoa has recorded 22+ completions in each of his last four home appearances against AFC opponents.
  • Tyreek Hill has scored a touchdown in each of the Dolphins' last four home games.
  • Tua Tagovailoa has thrown three or more touchdowns in three of his last four home appearances against conference opponents.
  • Jeff Wilson Jr. has recorded 23+ rushing yards in each of his last 11 appearances in Sunday games played on the East Coast.
  • Robbie Chosen has recorded 57+ receiving yards in each of his last five appearances with his team as a home favorite against AFC opponents.
  • Tyreek Hill ranks 1st in the NFL in receiving touchdowns (8) this season.

Las Vegas Raiders Player Prop Facts

  • Davante Adams has scored at least one touchdown in 10 of his last 12 appearances on the East Coast.
  • Josh Jacobs has recorded 67+ rushing yards in each of the Raiders' last five November road games.
  • Austin Hooper has recorded 11+ receiving yards in each of his last nine appearances with his team as a road underdog.
  • Josh Jacobs has recorded 87+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Raiders' last five November road games.
  • Jimmy Garoppolo has thrown four touchdowns in two of his last three Week 11 appearances.
  • A.J. Cole ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for gross average yards per punt (51.8) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Dolphins rank 1st in the NFL in passing yards per game this season (287.4).
  • The Dolphins rank 1st in the NFL in red zone percentage this season (75.0%).
  • The Raiders rank 2nd in the NFL in average yards per punt this season (51.8).
  • The Raiders rank 30th in the NFL in rushing yards per game this season (83.3).

Pick

The Raiders come into this game with some momentum after winning two games in a row, but they will play one of the best offenses in the NFL in this game. The Raiders are only 1-4 on the road this season, while Miami is 4-0 at home. The Dolphins have done a very good job at taking care of business against bad/average teams, and I expect the same here. The Raiders were able to beat the lowly Giants and the Jets in their last two games, but this is a massive step up in competition, especially playing in Miami. Take the Dolphins to win big. 

David’s Pick Dolphins -12.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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