Chargers vs Packers Prediction - NFL Picks 11/19/23

Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Los Angeles Chargers will play the Green Bay Packers on Sunday afternoon at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wisconsin. Los Angeles has won two of their last three games, while Green Bay has lost five of their last six. 

Chargers Preview

The Los Angeles Chargers are 4-5 this year after they lost to the Detroit Lions by a score of 41-38 in their last game. LA trailed 24-17 at the half and tied the game on multiple occasions, but allowed the game winning field goal as time expired. The Chargers were out gained by a total of 533-421 and turned the ball over one time in the game. Los Angeles had won their previous two games against the Jets and Bears. The LA offense is averaging 26.6 points per game with 249.1 passing yards per game and 100.8 rushing yards per game. Justin Herbert has thrown for 2,349 yards, 17 touchdowns, and five interceptions for the Chargers this season. Austin Ekeler has rushed for 332 yards and four touchdowns, while Keenan Allen has caught 73 passes for 895 yards and six scores. The LA defense is giving up 23.9 points against per game this year. 

Packers Preview

The Green Bay Packers are 3-6 this season after they lost to Pittsburgh by a score of 23-19 in their last game. Green Bay led 19-17 in the third quarter, but couldn’t generate any more points in the loss. The Packers out gained Pittsburgh by a total of 399-324, but did turn the ball over two times in the game. Green Bay’s only win in their last six games came against the Rams by a score of 20-3. The Green Bay offense is scoring 19.9 points per game with 208.9 passing yards per game and 102.1 rushing yards per game. Jordan Love has thrown for 2,009 yards, 14 touchdowns, and 10 interceptions for the Packers this season. AJ Dillon has rushed for 376 yards and one touchdown, while Jayden Reed has caught 28 passes for 417 yards and four scores. The Green Bay defense is allowing 20.2 points against per game this season.

Green Bay Packers Team Facts

  • The Packers have won each of their last three games as home underdogs following a loss.
  • The Packers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games as underdogs.
  • The Packers have lost the first half in each of their last six games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
  • The underdogs have won the first quarter in three the Packers' last four Week 11 games.
  • Each of the Packers' last four November games as underdogs have gone OVER the total points line.

Los Angeles Chargers Team Facts

  • The Chargers have lost each of their last three games as slight favorites (<-3.5 points).
  • The Chargers have covered the spread in eight of their last nine road games against NFC opponents.
  • The Chargers have lost the first quarter in four of their last five games as favorites against NFC opponents.
  • The Chargers have scored the first touchdown in each of their last six Sunday games as favorites.
  • The Chargers have won the first half in seven of their last eight games as favorites.

Green Bay Packers Player Prop Facts

  • Romeo Doubs has scored a touchdown in four of the Packers' last five Sunday games.
  • AJ Dillon has recorded 32+ rushing yards in 12 of the Packers' last 13 Sunday games as underdogs.
  • Jordan Love has recorded 228+ passing yards in each of the Packers' last four games at Lambeau Field.
  • Jordan Love has recorded 20+ completions in each of the Packers' last four games.
  • Luke Musgrave has recorded 30+ receiving yards in each of the Packers' last four games as underdogs following a loss.
  • AJ Dillon has recorded 37+ rushing and receiving yards in 10 of his 11 previous November appearances.
  • Keisean Nixon ranks 1st in the NFL in kick return yards (502) this season.

Los Angeles Chargers Player Prop Facts

  • Austin Ekeler has scored the last touchdown in three of his last four appearances with the Chargers as road favorites.
  • Austin Ekeler has scored the first touchdown in four of his last five regular season appearances with the Chargers as favorites.
  • Justin Herbert has recorded 273+ passing yards in five of the Chargers' last six Sunday road games.
  • Justin Herbert has recorded 14+ rushing yards in nine of the Chargers' last 10 November games.
  • Justin Herbert has recorded 26+ completions in nine of the Chargers' last 10 games following a home loss.
  • Justin Herbert has thrown three or more touchdowns in each of the Chargers' last three games against NFC North opponents.
  • Austin Ekeler has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last 12 regular season appearances with the Chargers as favorites.
  • Josh Palmer has recorded 24+ receiving yards in 11 of the Chargers' last 12 Sunday road games.
  • Austin Ekeler has scored two or more touchdowns in six of his last seven regular season appearances with the Chargers as road favorites.
  • Joshua Kelley has recorded 24+ rushing and receiving yards in four of the Chargers' last five Sunday road games.
  • Asante Samuel Jr. is just one away from 10 career interceptions (including playoffs).

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Packers rank 1st in the NFL in Q3 win percentage this season (77.8).
  • The Packers rank 31st in the NFL in forced fumbles this season (3).
  • The Chargers rank 32nd in the NFL in kickoff return yards per game this season (7.3).
  • The Chargers rank 31st in the NFL in yards allowed per game this season (393.2).

Pick

Both of these teams are sitting below .500 currently and they have been disappointing this season. The Chargers had a great chance to get their third win in a row last week, but their defense played horribly against Detroit. The good news for LA is that Green Bay’s offense is not good and Jordan Love is nowhere close to Jared Goff, but it is never easy to win in Green Bay. The Chargers have the much better offense in this matchup and I don’t think the Packers offense is good enough to take advantage of a below average LA defense. Take the Chargers on the road in this game. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

18+ Has gambling become a problem for you? Call the National Problem Gambling Hotline.
1-800-522-4700 | ncpgambling.org

Credit Guaranteed Packages

Packages with Credit Guarantees automatically give you a credit if the package does not turn a profit—the sum of betting all individual picks. THESE ARE NOT PARLAYS UNLESS OTHERWISE CLEARLY STATED. If a credit guaranteed package does not profit, a credit for its full purchase price is automatically issued after picks are graded and verified.

For example, if you purchase a $39.95 package that doesn’t profit, you’ll get a $39.95 credit towards any future purchase(s) on our site. Credits are usually issued within hours of a game’s conclusion, so please allow a few hours for final verification.

To use your credits, log in to your account and add another package or pass to your cart. Credits will automatically reduce what you owe. Any remaining balance will be settled through our payment system, with any leftover credits available future purchases. Credits do not expire.

Dismiss