Chargers vs Jets Prediction - NFL Picks 11/6/23

New York Jets (4-3) vs Los Angeles Chargers (3-4)

Game Info: Monday, November 6, 2023 at 8:15 pm (MetLife Stadium)

Betting Odds: New York Jets +3.5 -- Over/Under: 40 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Los Angeles Chargers will play the New York Jets on Monday Night Football at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey. Los Angeles has lost two of their last three games, while New York has won three straight games. 

Chargers Preview

The Los Angeles Chargers are 3-4 this season after they defeated the Chicago Bears by a score of 30-13 in their last game. Los Angeles led 24-7 at halftime and extended the lead to 30-7 for the easy win. The Chargers out gained Chicago by a total of 352-295 and forced two turnovers in the game. Prior to that win, Los Angeles had lost two games in a row to Kansas City and Dallas. The Los Angeles offense is scoring 24.9 points per game with 258.9 passing yards per game and 103.6 rushing yards per game. Justin Herbert has thrown for 1,890 yards, 13 touchdowns, and four interceptions for the Chargers this season. Austin Ekeler has rushed for 218 yards and one touchdown, while Keenan Allen has caught 54 passes for 643 yards and four scores. The Los Angeles defense is allowing 24 points against per game this year. 

Jets Preview

The New York Jets are 4-3 this year after they defeated the New York Giants by a score of 13-10 in overtime in their last game. New York trailed 10-7 late in the game, but they were able to pull off a near miracle to force overtime and get the win. The Jets out gained the Giants by a total of 251-194 and turned the ball over two times in the game. New York has also defeated the Broncos and Eagles during this three game winning streak. The New York offense is scoring 18 points per game with 164.3 passing yards per game and 109 rushing yards per game. Zach Wilson has thrown for 1,337 yards, five touchdowns, and five interceptions for the Jets this season. Breece Hall has rushed for 443 yards and two touchdowns, while Garrett Wilson has caught 39 passes for 469 yards and two scores. The New York defense is giving up 18.4 points against per game this season.

New York Jets Team Facts

  • The home team has won nine of the Jets' last 10 Week 9 games.
  • The home team has covered the spread in nine of the Jets' last 10 Week 9 games.
  • The Jets have lost the first half in each of their last six games as underdogs.
  • The Jets have lost the first quarter in each of their last five Monday games at MetLife Stadium.
  • Eight of the Jets' last nine games played as underdogs on the East Coast have gone UNDER the total points line.

Los Angeles Chargers Team Facts

  • The Chargers have lost each of their last three games as favorites against AFC East opponents.
  • The Chargers have failed to cover the spread in 10 of their last 11 November games against AFC opponents.
  • The Chargers have lost the first quarter in each of their last four November games as road favorites against AFC opponents.
  • The Chargers have scored the first touchdown in each of their last eight games following a win.
  • The Chargers have won the first half in six of their last seven games as favorites.

New York Jets Player Prop Facts

  • Breece Hall has scored a touchdown in each of the Jets' last three games.
  • Dalvin Cook has recorded 18+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his 25 previous appearances against AFC opponents.
  • Dalvin Cook has recorded 16+ rushing yards in each of his 25 previous appearances against AFC opponents.
  • Allen Lazard has recorded 33+ receiving yards in each of his last eight home appearances against AFC opponents.
  • Jordan Whitehead ranks T3rd in the NFL in interceptions (3) this season.

Los Angeles Chargers Player Prop Facts

  • Austin Ekeler has scored the first touchdown in each of his last four regular season appearances with the Chargers as favorites.
  • Austin Ekeler has scored the last touchdown in three of the Chargers' last four Monday games.
  • Joshua Kelley has recorded 24+ rushing yards in each of the Chargers' last five regular season games as favorites against AFC opponents.
  • Austin Ekeler has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last 12 appearances with the Chargers as favorites.
  • Austin Ekeler has recorded 79+ rushing and receiving yards in seven of his last eight regular season appearances with the Chargers as road favorites against AFC opponents.
  • Mike Williams has recorded 63+ receiving yards in 10 of his last 11 regular season appearances with the Chargers as road favorites against AFC opponents.
  • Austin Ekeler has scored two or more touchdowns in each of his last four regular season appearances with the Chargers as road favorites against AFC opponents.
  • Derwin James is just two away from 10 career interceptions.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Jets rank 1st in the NFL in Q4 opponent points per game this season (3.1).
  • The Jets rank 31st in the NFL in rushing yards allowed per game this season (144.9).
  • The Chargers rank 31st in the NFL in yards allowed per game this season (390.9).
  • The Chargers rank 31st in the NFL in average yards per punt this season (43.0).

Pick

The Jets come into this game playing very well in their last three games, while the Chargers have dropped two of their last three games. New York struggled to score in their last game against the Giants, but their defense played very well in that win. Los Angeles has a very solid passing attack with Herbert, so it will be interesting to see how the Jets defense is able to defend it. The Chargers are a team that I cannot trust, especially on defense, but the New York offense has been brutal at times this year. I am going to take the better defensive team and take the Jets with the points here. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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