Vikings vs Packers Prediction - NFL Picks 10/29/23

Green Bay Packers (2-4) vs Minnesota Vikings (3-4)

Game Info: Sunday, October 29, 2023 at 1:00 pm (Lambeau Field)

Betting Odds: Green Bay Packers +1.5 -- Over/Under: 41.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Minnesota Vikings will play the Green Bay Packers on Sunday afternoon at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wisconsin. Minnesota has won three of their last four games, while Green Bay has lost three straight games. 

Vikings Preview

The Minnesota Vikings are 3-4 this season after they defeated the San Francisco 49ers by a score of 22-17 last week. Minnesota led 16-7 at halftime and was able to hold off San Francisco’s comeback attempt in the second half. The Vikings out gained San Francisco by a total of 452-325 and forced three turnovers in the game. Minnesota also defeated the Bears in the game prior to San Francisco. The Minnesota offense is averaging 21.6 points per game with 280 passing yards per game and 74.9 rushing yards per game. Kirk Cousins has thrown for 2,057 yards, 16 touchdowns, and five interceptions for the Vikings this season. Alexander Mattison has rushed for 359 yards, while Jordan Addison has caught 29 passes for 400 yards and six scores. The Minnesota defense is allowing 21.7 points against per game this year. 

Packers Preview

The Green Bay Packers are 2-4 this year after they lost to the Denver Broncos by a score of 19-17 last week. Green Bay trailed 9-0 at the half, but they took a 17-16 lead in the fourth quarter, before allowing the game winning field goal in the fourth. The Packers were out gained by a total of 339-331 and turned the ball over once in the loss. Green Bay has also lost to Las Vegas and Detroit during this three game losing streak. The Green Bay offense is scoring 21.7 points per game with 199 passing yards per game and 90.8 rushing yards per game. Jordan Love has thrown for 1,263 yards, 10 touchdowns, and seven interceptions for the Packers this year. AJ Dillon has rushed for 255 yards and one touchdown, while Romeo Doubs has caught 23 passes for 258 yards and four scores. The Green Bay defense is giving up 22 points against per game this season.

Green Bay Packers Team Facts

  • The Packers have won each of their last 11 games at Lambeau Field against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Packers have covered the spread in seven of their last eight home games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The home team has won the first quarter in each of the last four games between the Vikings and Packers.
  • The Packers have lost the first half in each of their last four games as underdogs.
  • Five of the Packers' last six October games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total points line.

Minnesota Vikings Team Facts

  • The Vikings have won each of their last six October games against NFC opponents.
  • The Vikings have covered the spread in each of their last four October games against NFC opponents.
  • The Vikings have scored the first touchdown in 12 of their last 13 games as favorites following a win.
  • The Vikings have lost the first quarter in four of their last five Sunday games as favorites.
  • The Vikings have won the first half in eight of their last nine October games against NFC opponents.

Green Bay Packers Player Prop Facts

  • AJ Dillon has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Packers' last three games against the Vikings.
  • Jordan Love has thrown two or more touchdowns in three of the Packers' last four Sunday games as underdogs.
  • Jordan Love has recorded 21+ completions in three of the Packers' last four games as underdogs.
  • Jayden Reed has recorded 37+ receiving yards in each of the Packers' last four games as underdogs against NFC opponents.
  • AJ Dillon has recorded 54+ rushing yards in four of the Packers' last five games as underdogs following a road loss.
  • Jordan Love has recorded 245+ passing yards in three of the Packers' last four games as underdogs against NFC opponents.
  • AJ Dillon has recorded 76+ rushing and receiving yards in three of the Packers' last four October games as underdogs.
  • Darnell Savage Jr. is just one away from 10 career interceptions (including playoffs).

Minnesota Vikings Player Prop Facts

  • K.J. Osborn has recorded 47+ receiving yards in each of the Vikings' last three games.
  • Cam Akers has recorded 35+ rushing yards in four of his last five Sunday regular season appearances with his team as a road favorite.
  • Kirk Cousins has recorded 275+ passing yards in four of his five previous October appearances with his team as a favorite against NFC North opponents.
  • Kirk Cousins has thrown two or more touchdowns in five of the Vikings' last six games as favorites following a win.
  • Justin Jefferson has scored a touchdown in each of the Vikings' last three games as favorites following a home win.
  • Cam Akers has recorded 51+ rushing and receiving yards in four of his last five regular season appearances with his team as a road favorite.
  • Kirk Cousins has recorded 24+ completions in four of his five previous October appearances against NFC North opponents.
  • Kirk Cousins ranks 1st in the NFL in passing touchdowns (16) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Packers rank 1st in the NFL in Q3 points per game this season (9.3).
  • The Packers rank 32nd in the NFL in H1 points per game this season (4.3).
  • The Vikings rank 30th in the NFL in rushing yards per game this season (74.9).
  • The Vikings rank 3rd in the NFL in passing yards per game this season (280.0).

Pick

The Vikings come into this game with some positive momentum and they are trying to track the Lions down in the NFC North. Minnesota has taken advantage of bad teams (Chicago and Carolina) and injured teams (San Francisco) to win three out of their last four games. Green Bay has lost three games in a row, but they played a pretty solid second half last week, despite the loss. I think we are getting some very good value with the Packers in this game, as Minnesota is a popular pick due to their recent results. Like I said before, Minnesota beat up on some bad/injured teams and almost lost to the Bears two games ago. Take the Packers here.  

David’s Pick Packers ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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