Saints at Colts Prediction - NFL Picks 10/29/23

Indianapolis Colts (3-4) vs New Orleans Saints (3-4)

Game Info: Sunday, October 29, 2023 at 1:00 pm (Lucas Oil Stadium)

Betting Odds: Indianapolis Colts +3.5 -- Over/Under: 40 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Indianapolis Colts will host the New Orleans Saints in a rematch of Super Bowl XLIV this weekend from Lucas Oil Stadium.

New Orleans Saints Preview

New Orleans fell to 3-4 after losing to Jacksonville at home by a touchdown, 31-24. The Saints had their rally cut short by the visiting Jags, and they’ll now look to avoid a third straight loss this Sunday. The NO offense is scoring 16.6 ppg, while passing for 219.0 ypg, rushing for 121.6 ypg, and converting 38.5% of their third downs.

Saints Player Props

Derek Carr had a strong second half against Jacksonville, finishing with 301 yards and a touchdown to an interception. The former Raiders QB has delivered similar results for the Saints early on, and he’ll look to turn things around in Indy this Sunday. Carr has passed for 1,600 yards, with six touchdowns to four interceptions thru seven games.

Alvin Kamara has been an instant source of offense for early on, as he’s rushed for 60 yards or higher in three of his first four games, while catching seven passes or more in three contests as well. AK41 leads the Saints in rushing yards (261), with 35 receptions for 177 yards receiving.

Chris Olave has caught seven passes in back-to-back games, and he leads NO in receptions (39) and receiving yards (471).

Michael Thomas found the endzone for the first time this season in the loss to the Jags, and he’s posting a line of 34/371/1.

The New Orleans defense is allowing 19.2 points per game.

Indianapolis Colts Preview

Indianapolis dropped to 3-4 after losing to Cleveland at home by one, 39-38. The Colts lost after giving up a last minute touchdown to the Browns, and they’ll look to avoid a third straight loss this weekend. The Indy offense is scoring 25.4 ppg, while passing for 252.0 ypg, rushing for 124.0 ypg, and converting 38.1% of their third downs.

Colts Player Props

Gardner Minshew had a productive outing versus Cleveland, passing for 305 wasn’t able to get the job done in his return to Jacksonville last weekend, going for 329 yards with a touchdown, but he tossed three interceptions. The former Wazzu QB has been thrusted into the lineup with rookie quarterback Anthony Richardson set to miss the rest of the season, and he’ll seek better results here at home. Minshew has passed for 882 yards, with three touchdowns to three interceptions through four games of action.

Jonathan Taylor gained 65 yards against Jacksonville, and he’s due for a bigger workload in the coming weeks.

Michael Pittman Jr. had a strong 9-catch, 109-yard outing last week, and he leads his new team in receptions (40) and receiving yards (406).

Josh Downs scored his first big league touchdown last Sunday, and after catching five passes or more in three of the last four games, and he’s posting splits of 28/276/1.

The Indianapolis defense is allowing 25.3 points per game.

New Orleans vs Indianapolis Trends

NO is 3-4 against the spread, with a 2-5 O/U record.

IND is 3-4 ATS, with a 3-4 over/under record.

Corey’s Free Pick

Two teams stuck in park mode will face off this weekend, and this feels like a game the Saints’ defense. Inexperienced quarterbacks routinely struggle with New Orleans, and although they’ll be facing a resilient Gardner Mindshew, this will still be a game the visitors can control with physicality. The Under may be in play due to the state of both offense, but role with New Orleans for this Super Bowl rematch.