Packers vs Broncos Prediction - NFL Picks 10/22/23

Denver Broncos (1-5) vs Green Bay Packers (2-3)

Game Info: Sunday, October 22, 2023 at 4:25 pm (Empower Field at Mile High)

Betting Odds: Denver Broncos +1.5 -- Over/Under: 45 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Green Bay Packers will play the Denver Broncos on Sunday afternoon at Mile High Stadium in Denver, Colorado. Green Bay has lost three of their last four games, while Denver has lost five of six games this season.

Packers Preview

The Green Bay Packers are 2-3 this year after they lost to the Las Vegas Raiders by a score of 17-13 in their last game. Green Bay led 13-10 going into the fourth quarter, but they weren’t able to score in the fourth for the loss. The Packers out gained LV by a total of 285-279, but they turned the ball over three times in the game. Green Bay’s only two wins came against Chicago and New Orleans in Weeks 1 and 3. The Green Bay offense is scoring 22.6 points per game with 200 passing yards per game and 81.6 rushing yards per game this season. Jordan Love has thrown for 1,083 yards, eight touchdowns, and six interceptions for the Packers this year. AJ Dillon has rushed for 194 yards and one touchdown, while Romeo Doubs has caught 21 passes for 228 yards and three scores. The Green Bay defense is giving up 22.6 points against per game this season. 

Broncos Preview

The Denver Broncos are 1-5 this season after they lost to the Kansas City Chiefs by a score of 19-8 last week. Denver trailed 16-0 in the fourth quarter, but they were able to get a touchdown and the conversion with about six minutes left. The Broncos were out gained by a total of 389-197, but turned the ball over three times in the loss. Denver’s lone win came against the Chicago Bears by a score of 31-28 in their fourth game. The Denver offense is averaging 21.5 points per game with 200.3 passing yards per game and 106 rushing yards per game. Russell Wilson has thrown for 1,305 yards, 12 touchdowns, and four interceptions for the Broncos this year. Javonte Williams has rushed for 190 yards, while Courtland Sutton has caught 25 passes for 275 yards and four scores. The Denver defense is allowing 33.3 points against per game this year.

Denver Broncos Team Facts

  • The Broncos have lost seven of their last eight home games in October.
  • The Broncos have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six Sunday games.
  • The Broncos have won the first quarter in each of their last two games as home underdogs against NFC North opponents.
  • The home team has won the first half in each of the Broncos' last six games.
  • Seven of the Broncos' last eight games following a loss have gone OVER the total points line.

Green Bay Packers Team Facts

  • The Packers have lost each of their last five games in October.
  • The Packers have covered the spread in seven of their last eight Week 7 games as favorites.
  • The Packers have scored the first touchdown in each of their last five Week 7 games.
  • The Packers have won the first half in each of their last eight Week 7 games as favorites.
  • The Packers have lost the first quarter in three of their last four games as road favorites against AFC opponents.

Denver Broncos Player Prop Facts

  • Russell Wilson has thrown three touchdowns in each of his last three October appearances against NFC North opponents.
  • Courtland Sutton has scored a touchdown in each of the Broncos' last three games following a loss.
  • Russell Wilson has recorded 219+ passing yards in seven of his eight previous appearances following a road loss.
  • Javonte Williams has recorded 52+ rushing yards in six of his last seven Sunday home appearances.
  • Samaje Perine has recorded 15+ receiving yards in seven of his last eight regular season appearances.
  • Samaje Perine has recorded 43+ rushing and receiving yards in three of his four previous Sunday appearances at Empower Field at Mile High.
  • Marvin Mims Jr. is one of only two players in the NFL to have a kick return touchdown this season.

Green Bay Packers Player Prop Facts

  • AJ Dillon has scored a touchdown in three of the Packers' last four road games against AFC opponents.
  • Jordan Love has thrown three touchdowns in each of the Packers' last two Sunday road games.
  • AJ Dillon has recorded 54+ rushing yards in three of the Packers' last four October games against AFC opponents.
  • AJ Dillon has recorded 63+ rushing and receiving yards in five of the Packers' last six October games against AFC opponents.
  • AJ Dillon has recorded 11+ receiving yards in each of the Packers' last four October games as favorites against AFC opponents.
  • Keisean Nixon ranks 2nd in the NFC for kick return yards (250) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Broncos rank 32nd in the NFL in rushing yards allowed per game this season (172.3).
  • The Broncos rank 1st in the NFL in average kickoff return (35.2 yards) this season.
  • The Packers rank 1st in the NFL in Q3 points per game this season (9.2).
  • The Packers rank 1st in the NFL in H2 points per game this season (17.4).

Pick

This is an interesting game between two teams that have really struggled to start this season, but Denver will have the home field advantage. The Broncos are looking for their second win of the season, as things really went downhill after that collapse against Washington in Week 2. Green Bay has struggled offensively, only averaging 298 yards per game, but they will take on a Denver team that is allowing over 33 points per game and 458 yards per game. I don’t love this game, but I am going to side with the Broncos at home. Denver’s defense will get a little bit of a break against a bad Green Bay offense, and Denver will pick up the win here. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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