Lions vs Ravens Prediction - NFL Picks 10/22/23

Baltimore Ravens (4-2) vs Detroit Lions (5-1)

Game Info: Sunday, October 22, 2023 at 1:00 pm (M&T Bank Stadium)

Betting Odds: Baltimore Ravens -3 -- Over/Under: 43.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Detroit Lions will play the Baltimore Ravens on Sunday afternoon at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, Maryland. Detroit has won four games in a row and is tied for the best record in the NFL, while Baltimore has alternated wins and losses over their last five games. 

Lions Preview

The Detroit Lions are 5-1 this season after they defeated the Tampa Bay Buccaneers by a score of 20-6 last week. Detroit led 10-3 at halftime, but their lead was cut to 10-6, before they pulled away for the impressive win. The Lions out gained Tampa Bay by a total of 380-251 and and they went 9-16 on third downs in the game. Detroit has also defeated Carolina, Green Bay, and Atlanta during this winning streak. The Detroit offense is averaging 28 points per game with 259.5 passing yards per game and 124.2 rushing yards per game. Jared Goff has thrown for 1,618 yards, 11 touchdowns, and three interceptions for the Lions this year. David Montgomery is going to miss this game, but backup running back Jahmyr Gibbs is questionable. Amon-Ra St. Brown has caught 38 passes for 455 yards and three scores. The Detroit defense is giving up 18.8 points against per game this season. 

Ravens Preview

The Baltimore Ravens are 4-2 this year after they defeated the Tennessee Titans by a score of 24-16 last week in London. Baltimore led 18-3 at halftime and was able to hold off the Titans in the second half. The Ravens out gained Tennessee by a total of 360-233 and they forced two turnovers in the win. Baltimore also has wins against Cleveland, Cincinnati, and Houston this season. The Baltimore offense is scoring 22.2 points per game with 194.3 passing yards per game and 144.8 rushing yards per game this year. Lamar Jackson has thrown for 1,253 yards, five touchdowns, and three interceptions, while also rushing for 327 yards and four touchdowns for the Ravens this season. Gus Edwards has rushed for 282 yards and one touchdown, while Zay Flowers has caught 35 passes for 367 yards and one score. The Baltimore defense is allowing 15.2 points against per game this year. 

Baltimore Ravens Team Facts

  • The Ravens have won each of their last eight games as home favorites against NFC opponents.
  • The Ravens have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games as favorites following a win.
  • The Ravens have scored the first touchdown in each of their last seven Sunday games as favorites.
  • The Ravens have won the first quarter in each of their last six games.
  • The Ravens have won the first half in nine of their last 10 games as home favorites against NFC opponents.

Detroit Lions Team Facts

  • The Lions have won each of their last five games as road underdogs.
  • The Lions have covered the spread in each of their last seven games as underdogs.
  • The Lions have scored the first touchdown in seven of their last eight games as underdogs.
  • The underdogs have won the first quarter in each of the Lions' last four Week 7 games.
  • The Lions have won the first half in nine of their last 10 Sunday games against teams that held a winning record.

Baltimore Ravens Player Prop Facts

  • Lamar Jackson has thrown two or more touchdowns in three of his last four home appearances against NFC opponents.
  • Gus Edwards has recorded 48+ rushing yards in seven of his last eight appearances following a win.
  • Odell Beckham Jr. has recorded 23+ receiving yards in each of his 19 previous October appearances against NFC opponents.
  • Melvin Gordon III has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last five appearances with his team as a home favorite against NFC opponents.
  • Gus Edwards has recorded 65+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last four appearances against NFC opponents.
  • Lamar Jackson has recorded 22+ completions in each of the Ravens' last three games following a win.
  • Roquan Smith is just one away from 10 career interceptions (including playoffs).

Detroit Lions Player Prop Facts

  • Amon-Ra St. Brown has scored the first touchdown in three of his last four appearances following a win.
  • Jared Goff has thrown three touchdowns in each of the Lions' last two games following a road win.
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown has scored a touchdown in each of the Lions' last three road games.
  • Jared Goff has recorded 252+ passing yards in each of the Lions' last three games played on the East Coast.
  • Marvin Jones Jr. has recorded 22+ receiving yards in each of his last 11 appearances against AFC North opponents.
  • Jared Goff has recorded 23+ completions in each of the Lions' last three Sunday road games.
  • Aidan Hutchinson ranks 1st in the NFL in quarterback hurries (15) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Ravens rank 1st in the NFL in H1 opponent points per game this season (5.8).
  • The Ravens rank 1st in the NFL in Q1 win percentage this season (100.0).
  • The Lions rank T1st in the NFL in Q2 win percentage this season (83.3).
  • The Lions rank T1st in the NFL in H1 win percentage this season (83.3).

Pick

Detroit has been one of the biggest surprises in the NFL so far this season, but they are going to have their hands full in this one. The Lions are really banged up at running back and in the secondary, which is going to make this game very difficult. Baltimore is relatively healthy, but they struggled to score touchdowns last week against the Titans. I would love to see this matchup with both teams somewhat healthy, but I think this is the week the injuries catch up with Detroit. If Gibbs can’t go, Goff is going to have to be perfect to get the win. Take the Ravens here. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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