Falcons vs Buccaneers Prediction - NFL Picks 10/22/23

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-2) vs Atlanta Falcons (3-3)

Game Info: Sunday, October 22, 2023 at 1:00 pm (Raymond James Stadium)

Betting Odds: Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2.5 -- Over/Under: 437 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Atlanta Falcons and Tampa Bay Buccaneers face off on Sunday in an NFL showdown at Raymond James Stadium. 

Falcons Coming off Disappointing Loss

Falcons sit with a 3-3 record overall but they really were disappointing in the last game. The Falcons only scored six points against the Washington Commanders in the second half and that led to the 24-16 defeat. Desmond Ridder completed 28 of his 47 passes for 307 yards, two touchdowns, and three interceptions. In the backfield, Bijan Robinson and Tyler Allgeier have been splitting carries and in the last game both had 13 carries. Drake London caught nine passes for 125 yards. This Falcons team seems close, I am just not sure that Ridder is the answer at quarterback. The Falcons are averaging 16.5 points while their defense is giving up 20 points per game. 

Falcons Betting Trends

  • The Falcons have lost seven of their last eight road games against NFC opponents.
  • The Falcons have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games as underdogs.
  • The Falcons have scored the first touchdown in three of their last four Sunday games played on the East Coast.
  • The Falcons have won the first quarter in four of their last six games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The favorites have won the first half in nine of the Falcons' last 10 Week 7 games.

Can Buccaneers' Offense Bounce Back?

The Buccaneers sit with a 3-2 record overall but their offense really was awful in the last game. The Buccaneers faced off against the Lions and the offense only scored six runs on the way to the 14 point defeat. Baker Mayfield completed 19 of his 37 passes for 206 yards, zero touchdowns, and one interception. One issue for this team is the running game hasn’t been good enough. Rachaad White was the top rusher in the last game and he had only 26 yards on seven carries. 

Buccaneers Betting Trends

  • The Buccaneers have won eight of their last nine games following a home loss.
  • The Buccaneers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven home games following a loss.
  • The Buccaneers have lost the first quarter in seven of their last eight games.
  • The Buccaneers have won the first half in eight of their last nine Sunday games against the Falcons.
  • The Buccaneers have scored the first touchdown in eight of their last 10 games against the Falcons.

Shane’s Free Pick

This is going to be one ugly football game, with not a whole lot of offense by either side. I really don’t trust Ridder or Mayfield, and they are both going to really struggle in this game. The Falcons only scored 16 points in the last game and they aren’t going to even get to that number in this game. This total should really bet set right around 34 or 35 points, and that might even be too high. Back the under to cash here with ease. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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