Vikings vs Bears Prediction - NFL Picks 10/15/23

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The Minnesota Vikings will play the Chicago Bears on Sunday afternoon at Soldier Field in Chicago, Illinois. Both of these teams come into this matchup with 1-4 records, but Chicago is coming off of a win last week. 

Vikings Preview

The Minnesota Vikings are 1-4 this season after they lost to the Kansas City Chiefs by a score of 27-20 last week. Minnesota had a 13-10 lead in the second quarter, but they allowed the next 17 points, which put the game just out of reach. The Vikings were out gained by a total of 333-329 and they turned the ball over one time in the game. Minnesota’s lone win came against Carolina by a score of 21-13, while they have lost to Tampa Bay, Philadelphia, the Chargers, and KC. The Minnesota offense is scoring 22 points per game with 281.6 passing yards per game and 80.8 rushing yards per game. Kirk Cousins has thrown for 1,498 yards, 13 touchdowns, and four interceptions for the Vikings this year. Alexander Mattison has rushed for 276 yards, while T.J. Hockenson has caught 30 passes for 254 yards and two scores. Justin Jefferson will not play in this game due to injury. The Minnesota defense is allowing 24.4 points against per game this season.

Bears Preview

The Chicago Bears are 1-4 this year after they defeated the Washington Commanders by a score of 40-20 in their last game. Chicago took an early 17-0 lead and they led 27-3 at the half. The Commanders cut the lead to 27-14 and 30-20, but the Bears were able to pull away. The Bears out gained Washington by a total of 451-388 and forced two turnovers in the win. Chicago had opened the season with four straight losses to the Packers, Bucs, Chiefs, and Broncos. The Chicago offense is scoring 23 points per game with 203.6 passing yards per game and 130.8 rushing yards per game this season. Justin Fields has thrown for 1,143 yards, 11 touchdowns, and five interceptions, while also rushing for 191 yards and one touchdown. Khalil Herbert is the leading rusher for Chicago, but he is doubtful for this one. DJ Moore has caught 27 passes for 531 yards and five scores. The Chicago defense is giving up 31.4 points against per game this year. 

Chicago Bears Team Facts

  • The Bears have lost each of their last 10 games against NFC North opponents.
  • The Bears have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight Sunday games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Bears have won the first quarter in three of their last four October games as underdogs against NFC North opponents.
  • The Bears have lost the first half in seven of their last eight games as home underdogs against NFC North opponents.
  • The Bears have scored the first touchdown in five of their last six Week 6 games.

Minnesota Vikings Team Facts

  • The Vikings have lost 10 of their last 11 away games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
  • The Vikings have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
  • The Vikings have won the first half in each of their last four games as road favorites against the Bears.
  • The Vikings have lost the first quarter in each of their last four games as favorites.
  • The Vikings have scored the first touchdown in seven of their last eight games as favorites following a home loss.

Chicago Bears Player Prop Facts

  • Justin Fields has thrown four touchdowns in each of the Bears' last two games as underdogs.
  • D.J. Moore has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last four October appearances with his team as an underdog.
  • Darnell Mooney has recorded 43+ receiving yards in each of his last seven home appearances against NFC North opponents.
  • Justin Fields has recorded 211+ passing yards in each of the Bears' last three games against NFC opponents.
  • Justin Fields has recorded 20+ completions in three of his last four Sunday home appearances.
  • D'Onta Foreman has recorded 35+ rushing yards in each of his last seven appearances with his team as an underdog against NFC opponents.
  • D'Onta Foreman has recorded 68+ rushing and receiving yards in six of his last seven appearances with his team as an underdog against NFC opponents.
  • D.J. Moore ranks T1st in the NFL in 20+ yard receiving touchdowns (3) this season.

Minnesota Vikings Player Prop Facts

  • Cam Akers has recorded 29+ rushing yards in each of his last seven road appearances.
  • Kirk Cousins has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of the Vikings' last six games.
  • Kirk Cousins has recorded 24+ completions in each of his four previous October appearances with his team as a favorite against NFC North opponents.
  • Kirk Cousins has recorded 275+ passing yards in each of his four previous October appearances against NFC North opponents.
  • K.J. Osborn has recorded 41+ receiving yards in each of the Vikings' last three games as favorites against NFC North opponents.
  • Myles Gaskin has recorded 49+ rushing and receiving yards in eight of his last 10 appearances against NFC opponents.
  • Myles Gaskin has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last three October appearances against NFC opponents.
  • Danielle Hunter ranks T1st in the league for tackles for loss (9) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Bears rank 31st in the NFL in H2 opponent points per game this season (18.0).
  • The Bears has scored four or more touchdowns in 2 consecutive games - equal-longest streak in the league.
  • The Vikings rank 2nd in the NFL in passing yards per game this season (281.6).
  • The Vikings rank T31st in the NFL in Q1 points per game this season (0.6).

Pick

The Bears did manage to get a win in their last game, but one win isn’t going to change my mind about them. I think Chicago is one of the worst teams in the NFL and they will be without their leading rusher, most likely, in this game. Minnesota has really struggled and will be without Justin Jefferson, but I think the passing attack will continue to find success. The Vikings defense has had a few issues this season, but I don’t trust the Bears to take advantage of that. I like the Vikings on the road here. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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