Steelers vs Texans Prediction - NFL Picks 10/1/23

Houston Texans (1-2) vs Pittsburgh Steelers (2-1)

Game Info: Sunday, October 1, 2023 at 1:00 pm (NRG Stadium)

Betting Odds: Houston Texans +3 -- Over/Under: 42 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Pittsburgh Steelers will play the Houston Texans on Sunday afternoon at NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas. Pittsburgh has won two games in a row after their loss to open the season, while Houston got their first win of the year last week.

Steelers Preview

The Pittsburgh Steelers are 2-1 this season after they defeated the Las Vegas Raiders by a score of 23-18 last week. Pittsburgh fell down 7-0 in the first quarter, but they scored the next 23 points and were able to hang on for the win. The Steelers were out gained by a total of 362-333, but did force three turnovers in the game. Pittsburgh was blown out in their game against San Francisco to open the season, but they bounced back with a win over Cleveland in Week 2. The Pittsburgh offense is scoring 18.7 points per game with 208.7 passing yards per game and 67 rushing yards per game this season. Kenny Pickett has thrown for 689 yards, four touchdowns, and three interceptions for the Steelers this year. Najee Harris has rushed for 139 yards, while George Pickens has caught 13 passes for 238 yards and one score. The Pittsburgh defense is allowing 23.3 points against per game this year and they have allowed over 400 yards per game. 

Texans Preview

The Houston Texans are 1-2 this season after they defeated the Jacksonville Jaguars by a score of 37-17 in their last game. Houston led 17-0 at the half, but their lead was cut to seven in the third quarter, before they pulled away late. The Texans were out gained by a total of 404-366 and forced two turnovers in the win. Houston lost to Baltimore and Indianapolis to start the season, but they got a huge win last week against the Jaguars. The Houston offense is averaging 22 points per game with 271 passing yards per game and 70 rushing yards per game this year. C.J. Stroud has thrown for 906 yards and four touchdowns for the Texans this season. Dameon Pierce has rushed for 100 yards and one touchdown, while Nico Collins has caught 15 passes for 260 yards and one score. The Houston defense is giving up 24.3 points against per game this season. 

Houston Texans Team Facts

  • The Texans have lost each of their last eight home games.
  • The Texans have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games following a win.
  • The Texans have won the first quarter in each of their last two games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Texans have lost the first half in six of their last seven Sunday games at NRG Stadium.
  • Four of the Texans' last five Week 4 home games have gone OVER the total points line.

Pittsburgh Steelers Team Facts

  • The Steelers have won each of their last eight games against AFC South opponents.
  • The Steelers have covered the spread in each of their last six games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The underdogs have won the first quarter in each of the Steelers' last four Week 4 games.
  • The Steelers have lost the first half in five of their last six games as favorites against AFC South opponents.
  • The Steelers have scored the first touchdown in nine of their last 12 games as favorites following a win.

Houston Texans Player Prop Facts

  • Nico Collins has scored a touchdown in each of his last two Sunday appearances at NRG Stadium.
  • Devin Singletary has recorded 25+ rushing yards in each of his 12 previous October appearances against AFC opponents.
  • Dalton Schultz has recorded 33+ receiving yards in seven of his last eight home appearances against AFC opponents.
  • C.J. Stroud has recorded 242+ passing yards in each of the Texans' last three games.

Pittsburgh Steelers Player Prop Facts

  • George Pickens has scored a touchdown in each of the Steelers' last two games as favorites.
  • Najee Harris has recorded 65+ rushing yards in each of the Steelers' last four road games.
  • Pat Freiermuth has recorded 36+ receiving yards in eight of his last nine regular season road appearances against AFC opponents.
  • Minkah Fitzpatrick ranked T1st in the AFC for Interceptions (6) last season

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Texans ranked 31st in the NFL in rushing yards per game (86.8) last season
  • The Texans ranked T30th in the NFL in points per game (17.0) last season
  • The Steelers ranked 31st in the NFL in kickoff return yards per game (30.0) last season
  • The Steelers ranked 30th in the NFL in average punt return (5.9 yards) last season

Pick

The Texans come into this game with a 1-2 record, but they have played pretty well in two of the three games so far this year. Stroud is throwing for over 300 yards per game and hasn’t thrown an interception yet, so the rookie is playing very well. Pittsburgh has struggled when it comes to giving up yards, but has limited their opponents points in the last two games. I am not impressed with the Pittsburgh defense and I think Stroud is going to find success. I like the Texans with the points at home here. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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