Rams vs Bengals Prediction - NFL Picks 9/25/23

Cincinnati Bengals (0-2) vs Los Angeles Rams (1-1)

Game Info: Monday, September 25, 2023 at 8:15 pm (Paycor Stadium)

Betting Odds: Cincinnati Bengals -2.5 -- Over/Under: 43.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Los Angeles Rams will play the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 3 of the NFL regular season on Monday night at Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati, Ohio. The Rams put up a good fight against the 49ers last week, while Cincinnati fell to Baltimore for their second straight loss. 

Rams Preview

The Los Angeles Rams are 1-1 this season after they lost to the San Francisco 49ers by a score of 30-23 last week. Los Angeles led 17-10 late in the second quarter, but gave up the game tying touchdown with no time left in the half. The 49ers pulled away with 10 straight points to start the half and put the game away with a field goal late in the fourth. The Rams out gained San Francisco by a total of 386-365, but turned the ball over two times in the loss. Los Angeles defeated Seattle by a score of 30-13 in Week 1. The Los Angeles offense is averaging 26.5 points per game with 315.5 passing yards per game and 90.5 rushing yards per game this season. Matthew Stafford has thrown for 641 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions for the Rams this year. Kyren Williams has rushed for 104 yards and three scores, while Puka Nacua (questionable) has caught 25 passes for 266 yards. The Rams defense is giving up 21.5 points against per game this year. 

Bengals Preview

The Cincinnati Bengals are 0-2 this season after they lost to Baltimore by a score of 27-24 in their last game. Cincinnati never led in this game, but was able to keep it close throughout. The Bengals were out gained by a total of 415-282 and turned the ball over once in the loss. Cincinnati lost to Cleveland by a score of 24-3 in their first game of the season. The Cincinnati offense is scoring 13.5 points per game with 141.5 passing yards per game and 70.5 rushing yards per game this year. Joe Burrow (questionable) has thrown for 304 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception for the Bengals this season. Joe Mixon has rushed for 115 yards, while Tee Higgins has caught eight passes for 89 yards and two scores. The Cincinnati defense is allowing 25.5 points against per game this season. 

Cincinnati Bengals Team Facts

  • The Bengals have lost each of their last three Monday games as favorites.
  • The Bengals have covered the spread in each of their last four games as favorites against NFC opponents.
  • The Bengals have scored the first touchdown in seven of their last eight home games.
  • The Bengals have lost the first quarter in each of their last two September games as favorites against NFC opponents.
  • The Bengals have won the first half in each of their last four Monday games at Paycor Stadium.

Los Angeles Rams Team Facts

  • The Rams have won four of their last five September games as road underdogs.
  • The Rams have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine road games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Rams have won the first quarter in three of their last four September games as road underdogs.
  • The Rams have won the first half in six of their last eight games as slight underdogs (<+3.5 points).
  • The Rams have scored the first touchdown in five of their last six games following a home loss.

Cincinnati Bengals Player Prop Facts

  • Ja'Marr Chase has scored at least one touchdown in each of his four previous regular season home appearances against NFC opponents.
  • Joe Mixon has recorded 33+ receiving yards in each of the Bengals' last four regular season games as favorites.
  • Tee Higgins was one of only seven players in the NFL to record 1,000 receiving yards with less than 80 receptions last season

Los Angeles Rams Player Prop Facts

  • Matthew Stafford has recorded 278+ passing yards in five of his last six regular season appearances against AFC opponents.
  • Tyler Higbee has recorded 39+ receiving yards in 10 of the Rams' last 12 September games.
  • Matthew Stafford has thrown two or more touchdowns in 10 of his last 12 September appearances with his team as a road underdog.
  • Cam Akers was one of only six players in the NFL to record 100+ rushing yards in three or more consecutive games last season

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Bengals ranked 1st in the AFC North for total yards per game last season (360.5)
  • The Bengals ranked 1st in the AFC North for passing yards per game last season (265.0)
  • The Rams ranked 28th in the NFL in average kickoff return (20.1 yards) last season
  • The Rams ranked 27th in the NFL in points per game (18.1) last season

Pick

The Bengals come into this game looking for their first win of the season, but they will face a Rams team that has looked pretty good in their first two games. The LA offense has been able to put up quite a few passing yards this season, while the Cincinnati offense is only averaging 222.5 yards per game. I do expect the Bengals to get better as the season goes on, but how long will it take for Burrow and the offense to get going? I am not going to back the Bengals until I see improvement, so give me the Rams with the points. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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