Texans vs Jaguars Prediction - NFL Picks 9/24/23

Jacksonville Jaguars (1-1) vs Houston Texans (0-2)

Game Info: Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 1:00 pm (EverBank Stadium)

Betting Odds: Jacksonville Jaguars -8 -- Over/Under: 44 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Houston Texans will play the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 3 of the NFL regular season on Sunday afternoon at EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, Florida. Houston comes into this matchup looking for their first win of the season, while Jacksonville is trying to bounce back after a home loss to Kansas City. 

Texans Preview

The Houston Texans are 0-2 this season after they lost to Indianapolis by a score of 31-20 last week. Houston trailed 28-10 at the half and 31-10 in the fourth quarter, but was able to score 10 points in the fourth. The Texans out gained the Colts by a total of 389-353, but turned the ball over once in the loss. Houston lost to Baltimore by a score of 25-9 in their first game of the season. The Houston offense is scoring 14.5 points per game with 266.5 passing yards per game and 62 rushing yards per game this year. C.J. Stroud has thrown for 626 yards and two touchdowns for the Texans this season. Dameon Pierce has rushed for 69 yards, while Nico Collins has caught 13 passes for 226 yards and one score. The Houston defense is giving up 28 points against per game, but hasn’t allowed that many yards in either game. 

Jaguars Preview

The Jacksonville Jaguars are 1-1 this season after they lost to Kansas City by a score of 17-9 in their last game. Jacksonville led 7-6 at halftime, but trailed 14-6 going into the fourth quarter. The Jaguars added a field goal in the fourth, but their inability to find the end zone cost them the game. Jacksonville was out gained by a total of 399-271, but did force three turnovers in the loss. The Jaguars defeated the Colts by a score of 31-21 in their first game. The Jacksonville offense is averaging 20 points per game with 217 passing yards per game and 89.5 rushing yards per game this season. Trevor Lawrence has thrown for 457 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception for the Jags this year. Travis Etienne Jr. has rushed for 117 yards and one score, while Calvin Ridley has caught 10 passes for 133 yards and one touchdown. The Jaguars defense is allowing 19 points against per game, but did a nice job of forcing turnovers against Kansas City.

Jacksonville Jaguars Team Facts

  • The underdogs have won nine of the Jaguars' last 11 games at EverBank Stadium.
  • The Jaguars have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 games played as favorites on the East Coast.
  • The Jaguars have lost the first quarter in three of their last four September games as home favorites against AFC opponents.
  • The road team has won the first half in eight of the Jaguars' last nine games.
  • Each of the Jaguars' last five September games at EverBank Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.

Houston Texans Team Facts

  • The Texans have won each of their last seven games against the Jaguars following a loss.
  • The Texans have covered the spread in each of their last five games as road underdogs against AFC South opponents.
  • The Texans have scored the first touchdown in four of their last five games as road underdogs against AFC South opponents.
  • The Texans have won the first quarter in four of their last five games as underdogs following a loss.
  • The Texans have won the first half in each of their last four games as underdogs following a loss.

Jacksonville Jaguars Player Prop Facts

  • Travis Etienne has scored a touchdown in four of the Jaguars' last five games as favorites.
  • Travis Etienne has recorded 71+ rushing yards in each of the Jaguars' last four games as favorites following a loss.
  • Evan Engram has recorded 49+ receiving yards in each of the Jaguars' last four games as favorites following a loss.
  • Trevor Lawrence has recorded 24+ completions in four of the Jaguars' last five September games.
  • Trevor Lawrence has thrown three or more touchdowns in three of the Jaguars' last five games at EverBank Stadium.
  • Devin Lloyd was one of only seven players in the NFL to record 100+ tackles and 3+ interceptions last season

Houston Texans Player Prop Facts

  • Nico Collins has scored a touchdown in each of his last two appearances following a loss.
  • Dalton Schultz has recorded 34+ receiving yards in each of his last three appearances following a loss.
  • Dameon Pierce has recorded 69+ rushing yards in six of his eight previous road appearances.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Jaguars ranked 1st in the AFC South for average point differential last season (+3.2)
  • The Jaguars ranked 1st in the AFC South for total yards per game last season (357.4)
  • The Texans ranked 31st in the NFL in rushing yards per game (86.8) last season
  • The Texans ranked T30th in the NFL in points per game (17.0) last season

Pick

The Texans are looking for their first win of the season, but they come into this matchup as a pretty big underdog. Jacksonville played decently in their last game against the Chiefs, but the offense couldn’t finish drives. I expect the Jaguars offense to play much better in this game, but their secondary will be tested by Stroud, who has thrown for over 300 yards per game so far. The Texans have shown some good fight in the first two games of the season, but I like Jacksonville to win this game by 10+ points. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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