Bears vs Chiefs Prediction - NFL Picks 9/24/23

Kansas City Chiefs (1-1) vs Chicago Bears (0-2)

Game Info: Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 4:25 pm (GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium)

Betting Odds: Kansas City Chiefs -12.5 -- Over/Under: 48 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Kansas City Chiefs and Chicago Bears do battle Sunday afternoon in week 3 NFL action at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

Chicago Bears Betting Preview

The Chicago Bears are still looking for their first win of the season. The Bears look to avoid their first 0-3 start since 2016 when they won just 3 games overall. Justin Fields is completing 60.6 percent of his passes for 427 yards, 2 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. DJ Moore and Cole Kmet have combined for 211 receiving yards on 17 catches, while Khalil Herbert has 4 receptions. The Chicago Bears ground game is averaging 94.5 yards per contest, and Herbert leads the way with 62 yards on 16 carries. Defensively, Chicago is allowing 32.5 points and 383 yards per game. T.J. Edwards leads the Chicago Bears with 26 tackles, Yannick Ngakoue has 1 sack and Eddie Jackson has 2 pass deflections.

Chicago Bears Team Facts

  • The Bears have lost each of their last 13 Sunday games.
  • The Bears have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 games.
  • The Bears have scored the first touchdown in five of their last six games as underdogs.
  • The underdogs have won the first quarter in four of the Bears' last five games.
  • The Bears have lost the first half in each of their last seven September games as underdogs.

Kansas City Chiefs Betting Preview

The Kansas City Chiefs look for their first home win to get a game above a .500 record. The Chiefs have won 5 of their last 6 home games. Patrick Mahomes is completing 62.5 percent of his passes for 531 yards, 4 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Justin Watson and Skyy Moore have combined for 177 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Noah Gray has 6 receptions. The Kansas City Chiefs ground game is averaging 95.5 yards per contest, and Isiah Pacheco leads the way with 93 yards on 20 carries. Defensively, Kansas City is allowing 15 points and 319.5 yards per game. Nick Bolton leads the Kansas City Chiefs with 15 tackles, Chris Jones has 1.5 sacks and Justin Reid has 2 pass deflections.

Kansas City Chiefs Team Facts

  • The Chiefs have won each of their last 23 games as heavy favorites (>-7.0 points).
  • The Chiefs have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine home games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Chiefs have lost the first quarter in five of their last six September games as home favorites.
  • The favorites have won the first half in each of the Chiefs' last eight games.
  • The Chiefs have scored the first touchdown in each of their last seven Sunday home games.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Chiefs ranked 1st in the NFL in points per game (29.2) last season
  • The Chiefs ranked 1st in the NFL in yards per game (413.6) last season
  • The Bears ranked 32nd in the NFL in points allowed per game (27.2) last season
  • The Bears ranked 1st in the NFL in rushing yards per game (177.3) last season

Randy’s Pick

The Bears have been awful on both sides of the ball through 2 games, and they were both winnable matches against the Packers and Buccaneers. The Bears have failed to cover 9 of their last 11 games as double-digit underdogs. We know what the Kansas City Chiefs are capable of when in good form, and they're going to only get better with Travis Kelce and Chris Jones back. Massive line, especially for this early in the season still, but there's quite a gap between the Bears and Chiefs. I'll eat the chalk. 

Randy’s Pick Kansas City Chiefs -12.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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