New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills - 1/8/23 NFL Picks and Prediction

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The New England Patriots and Buffalo Bills meet Sunday in week 18 NFL action at Highmark Stadium. The New England Patriots have lost 4 of their last 6 games. The Buffalo Bills have won 6 straight games.

The New England Patriots have split their last 8 road games. Mac Jones is completing 65.2 percent of his passes for 2,754 yards, 11 touchdowns and 8 interceptions. Jakobi Meyers and Hunter Henry have combined for 1,239 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns, while DeVante Parker has 25 receptions. The New England Patriots ground game is averaging 106.6 yards per contest, and Stevenson leads the way with 986 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, New England is allowing 19.5 points and 321.7 yards per game. Ja’Whaun Bentley leads the New England Patriots with 118 tackles, Matthew Judon has 15.5 sacks and Jonathan Jones has 4 interceptions.

The Buffalo Bills have won 5 of their last 6 home games. Josh Allen is completing 63.4 percent of his passes for 4,029 yards, 32 touchdowns and 13 interceptions. Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis have combined for 2,122 receiving yards and 17 touchdowns, while Dawson Knox has 46 receptions. The Buffalo Bills ground game is averaging 142.8 yards per contest, and Devin Singletary leads the way with 790 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, Buffalo is allowing 17.5 points and 317.7 yards per game. Tremaine Edmunds leads the Buffalo Bills with 95 tackles, Von Miller has 8 sacks and Jordan Poyer has 4 interceptions.

The Patriots are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs. AFC East and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Bills are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC East and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. The under is 5-2 in Patriots last 7 vs. AFC. The under is 9-4 in Bills last 13 games overall. The Patriots are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 meetings in Buffalo and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The road team is 20-7-2 ATS in their last 29 meetings.

The New England Patriots don't have any offense to speak of, and I don't trust Jones and company on the road against decent competition. The Buffalo Bills are playing for playoff seeding, and they're also playing with Damar Hamlin in mind. Reports indicate Hamlin had his breathing tube removed, and he zoom called the team on Friday. Bills players should be at ease and able to play this game with a clear mind, knowing their teammate is going to make it. I wouldn't be shocked if the Bills play to the crowd and steamroll the Pats. I'll lay the touchdown.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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