Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots - 1/1/23 NFL Picks and Prediction

New England Patriots (7-8) vs Miami Dolphins (8-7)

Game Info: Sunday, January 1, 2023 at 1:00 pm (Gillette Stadium)

Betting Odds: New England Patriots -2.5 -- Over/Under: 41.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Miami Dolphins and New England Patriots face off on Sunday in a Week 17 NFL showdown at Gillette Stadium. When these two teams faced off in September it was the Dolphins that secured the 20-7 victory. 

The Dolphins come with an 8-7 record overall and they have gone 7-8 against the spread. After a strong start to the season, the Dolphins are now fighting to even make the playoffs. In the last game against the Green Bay Packers they couldn’t make enough defensive stops and ended up losing 26-20. Jaylen Waddle had 143 yards and Tyreek Hill had 103 yards. Tua Tagovailoa suffered another concussion and has been ruled out for this game. Teddy Bridgewater will get the start and on the season he has thrown for 329 yards, two touchdowns, and two interceptions. Miami is averaging 24.3 points while their defense is giving up 24.7 points per game. 

On the side of this matchup is the Patriots who sit with a 7-8 record overall and they have gone 7-7-1 against the spread. In the last game against the Cincinnati Bengals they almost came back late, but fell just short as they lost 22-18. Mac Jones completed 21 of his 33 passes for 240 yards, two touchdowns, and zero interceptions. The Patriots are averaging 21.2 points while their defense is giving up 19.4 points per game. The defense is ranked 5th best in college football. The Patriots are averaging 21.2 points while their defense is giving up 19.4 points per game. 

The Patriots are 4-0 against the spread in their last four games as a favorite. The under is 4-0 in the Patriots last four games played ath ome. The under is 5-0 in the Patriots last five games as a favorite. 

The Patriots have found success when they have been the favorites, and they are going to continue that here. I don’t trust Bridgewater to find success here, and his struggles are going to be the difference here as New England is able to get the job done. Back the Patriots to come away with a cover of the spread.

Shane’s Pick Patriots -2.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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