Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs - 1/1/23 NFL Picks and Prediction

Kansas City Chiefs (12-3) vs Denver Broncos (4-11)

Game Info: Sunday, January 1, 2023 at 1:00 pm (GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium)

Betting Odds: Kansas City Chiefs -12.5 -- Over/Under: 44.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Denver Broncos and Kansas City Chiefs meet Sunday in week 17 NFL action at Arrowhead Stadium. The Denver Broncos have lost 6 of their last 7 games. The Kansas City Chiefs have won 8 of their last 9 games.

The Denver Broncos haven’t won a road game all season. Russell Wilson is completing 60.1 percent of his passes for 3,019 yards, 12 touchdowns and 9 interceptions. Jerry Jeudy and Courtland Sutton have combined for 1,532 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns, while Greg Dulcich has 33 receptions. The Denver Broncos ground game is averaging 107.5 yards per contest, and Latavius Murray leads the way with 544 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Denver is allowing 20.3 points and 314.3 yards per game. Alex Singleton leads the Denver Broncos with 144 tackles, Dre’Mont Jones has 6.5 sacks and Justin Simmons has 5 interceptions.

The Kansas City Chiefs have won 4 straight home games. Patrick Mahomes is completing 66.9 percent of his passes for 4,720 yards, 37 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. Travis Kelce and JuJu Smith-Schuster have combined for 2,134 receiving yards and 15 touchdowns, while Marquez Valdes-Scantling has 37 receptions. The Kansas City Chiefs ground game is averaging 117.1 yards per contest, and Isiah Pacheco leads the way with 735 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Kansas City is allowing 22.1 points and 332.9 yards per game. Nick Bolton leads the Kansas City Chiefs with 155 tackles, Chris Jones has 12 sacks and Juan Thornhill has 2 interceptions.

The Broncos are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games and 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games in January. The Chiefs are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 home games and 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The under is 19-7 in Broncos last 26 games overall. The under is 5-0 in Chiefs last 5 home games. The Broncos are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 meetings.

These AFC West division games have a history of being competitive, so I can understand why some would lean toward the points. However, the Denver Broncos haven't been able to find offensive success all season, and that's an issue when going up against the Chiefs. You need to score to compete against this team. I have no confidence in the Broncos. It's Chiefs and the chalk or pass for me.

Randy’s Pick Kansas City Chiefs -12.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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