Kansas City Chiefs at Houston Texans - 12/18/22 NFL Picks and Prediction

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The Kansas City Chiefs and Houston Texans face off on Sunday in an NFL showdown at NRG Stadium. When these two teams faced off in 2020 it was the Chiefs that secured the 34-20 victory. 

Kansas City comes into this game with a 10-3 record, and they have gone 3-9-1 away from home this season. In the last game against the Denver Broncos, the defense was awful, giving up 28 points, but the offense scored 34 points and that led to the six-point victory. Patrick Mahomes completed 28 of his 42 passes for 352 yards, three touchdowns, and three interceptions. The Chiefs are averaging 29.5 points, while their defense is giving up 22.9 points per game. Mahomes on the season has thrown for 4,160 yards, 33 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions. Running back Isiah Pacheco is dealing with a shoulder injury, but it’s expected that he’s going to be able to go in this game. 

On the other side of this matchup is the Texans, who sit with a 1-11-1 record overall, and they have gone 5-7-1 against the spread. In the last game against the Dallas Cowboys, they were competitive, but ended up falling just short. Quarterback Davis Mills completed 16 of his 21 passes for 175 yards, zero touchdowns, and one interception. Dameon Pierce finished with 22 catches for 78 yards and a touchdown. The Texans are averaging 16.2 points, while their defense is giving up 24.2 points per game. 

The Chiefs are 0-5-1 against the spread in their last six games. The Chiefs are 0-6-1 against the spread in their last seven games against a team with a losing record. The over is 5-1 in the Chief's last 6 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. The Chiefs are 5-0-1 against the spread in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

This Chiefs team is winning games, but they are playing down to the competition. The Texans' offense was good in the last game against the Cowboys, and Mills is going to have another big game here. The Texans will cover the spread here. This is also going to be a high scoring game and the over is going to cash. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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