Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills - 12/17/22 NFL Picks and Prediction

Buffalo Bills (10-3) vs Miami Dolphins (8-5)

Game Info: Saturday, December 17, 2022 at 8:15 pm (Highmark Stadium)

Betting Odds: Buffalo Bills -7 -- Over/Under: 44.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Miami Dolphins will play the Buffalo Bills on Saturday night at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, New York.

The Miami Dolphins are 8-5 this season after they lost to the Los Angeles Chargers by a score of 23-17 in their last game. Miami was out gained by a total of 432-219 and went 3-11 on third down attempts in the loss. The Miami offense is averaging 24.3 points per game with 277.9 passing yards per game and 89.8 rushing yards per game. Tua Tagovailoa has thrown for 3,004 yards, 22 touchdowns, and five interceptions for the Dolphins this season. Raheem Mostert has rushed for 610 yards and three touchdowns, while Tyreek Hill has caught 100 passes for 1,460 yards and six scores for Miami. The Miami defense is giving up 24 points per game and 350.8 yards per game.

The Buffalo Bills are 10-3 this season after they defeated the New York Jets by a score of 20-12 in their last game. Buffalo was out gained by a total of 309-232 and forced two turnovers in the win. The Buffalo offense is averaging 27.2 points per game with 263.4 passing yards per game and 133.7 rushing yards per game. Josh Allen has thrown for 3,553 yards, 26 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions, while also adding 628 rushing yards and six touchdowns for the Bills this season. Devin Singletary has rushed for 642 yards and four touchdowns, while Stefon Diggs (questionable) has caught 94 passes for 1,239 yards and 10 scores for Buffalo. The Buffalo defense is allowing 17 points per game and 319.3 yards per game.

Miami is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games. The over is 4-1 in Miami’s last 5 road games. Buffalo is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games and 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games against a team with a winning record. The under is 9-2 in Buffalo’s last 11 games. The over is 6-1 in these two teams last 7 head to head meetings in Buffalo.

Buffalo comes into this game on a four game winning streak and will have home field advantage for this matchup. Miami has lost two games in a row and there are questions about how they will handle the cold weather in Buffalo. Both teams have explosive offenses, but Miami has a struggling defense. I think this game will turn into a shootout and I like the over.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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