Miami Dolphins at Los Angeles Chargers - 12/11/22 NFL Picks and Prediction

Los Angeles Chargers (6-6) vs Miami Dolphins (8-4)

Game Info: Sunday, December 11, 2022 at 8:20 pm (SoFi Stadium)

Betting Odds: Los Angeles Chargers +3.5 -- Over/Under: 51.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Los Angeles Chargers and Miami Dolphins clash Sunday night in week 14 NFL action at SoFi Stadium. The Los Angeles Chargers have lost 4 of their last 6 games. The Miami Dolphins have won 5 of their last 6 games.

The Los Angeles Chargers have lost 3 of their last 4 home games. Justin Herbert is completing 66.7 percent of his passes for 3,339 yards, 20 touchdowns and 7 interceptions. Joshua Palmer and Austin Ekeler have combined for 1,176 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns, while Mike Williams has 38 receptions. The Los Angeles Chargers ground game is averaging 84.7 yards per contest, and Ekeler leads the way with 589 yards and 7 touchdowns. Defensively, Los Angeles is allowing 25.8 points and 371.7 yards per game. Derwin James Jr. leads the Los Angeles Chargers with 106 tackles, Khalil Mack has 7 sacks and Bryce Callahan has 3 interceptions.

The Miami Dolphins have split their last 6 road games. Tua Tagovailoa is completing 68.1 percent of his passes for 2,859 yards, 21 touchdowns and 5 interceptions. Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle have combined for 2,251 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns, while Trent Sherfield has 25 receptions. The Miami Dolphins ground game is averaging 89.7 yards per contest, and Raheem Mostert leads the way with 573 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Miami is allowing 24.1 points and 344 yards per game. Elandon Roberts leads the Miami Dolphins with 75 tackles, Melvin Ingram has 6 sacks and Jevon Holland has 2 interceptions.

The Dolphins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 14. The Chargers are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games in Week 14 and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss. The over is 4-1 in Dolphins last 5 games overall. The over is 4-1 in Chargers last 5 games in December. The Dolphins are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 meetings. The home team is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings.

I expect a big bounce back game from Tua here against a Chargers defense that’s not good. There’s also rumblings that Terron Armstead will be healthy enough to go here, which is massive for the Dolphins offensive line. The Los Angeles Chargers are a talented team, but they have issues finishing games, and it makes them hard to trust against above average competition. The Chargers put up sexy numbers, but they don’t win games. Give me the Dolphins.

Randy’s Pick Miami Dolphins -3.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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