Miami Dolphins at San Francisco 49ers - 12/4/22 NFL Picks and Prediction

San Francisco 49ers (7-4) vs Miami Dolphins (8-3)

Game Info: Sunday, December 4, 2022 at 4:05 pm (Levi's Stadium)

Betting Odds: San Francisco 49ers -3.5 -- Over/Under: 45.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Miami Dolphins and San Francisco 49ers meet Sunday in week 13 NFL action at Levi's Stadium. The Miami Dolphins have won 5 straight games. The San Francisco 49ers have won 4 straight games.

The Miami Dolphins have won 3 of their last 5 road games. Tua Tagovailoa is completing 69.7 percent of his passes for 2,564 yards, 19 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle have combined for 2,196 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns, while Trent Sherfield has 24 receptions. The Miami Dolphins ground game is averaging 94.8 yards per contest, and Raheem Mostert leads the way with 543 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Miami is allowing 23.3 points and 343.4 yards per game. Elandon Roberts leads the Miami Dolphins with 71 tackles, Melvin Ingram has 5 sacks and Jevon Holland has 2 interceptions.

The San Francisco 49ers have won 4 of their last 5 home games. Jimmy Garoppolo is completing 67.4 percent of his passes for 2,381 yards, 16 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. Brandon Aiyuk and Deebo Samuel have combined for 1,163 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns, while George Kittle has 36 receptions. The San Francisco 49ers ground game is averaging 124.4 yards per contest, and Christian McCaffrey leads the way with 241 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, San Francisco is allowing 15.7 points and 281.7 yards per game. Fred Warner leads the San Francisco 49ers with 81 tackles, Nick Bosa has 11.5 sacks and Talanoa Hufanga has 4 interceptions.

The Dolphins are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games in December and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 13. The 49ers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games and 16-7 ATS in their last 23 games overall. The over is 4-1 in Dolphins last 5 road games. The under is 14-5 in 49ers last 19 games overall. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

The San Francisco 49ers are going to get the benefit of the doubt because they're at home, but the value is on the Dolphins, especially the hook. The Miami Dolphins are one of the hotter teams in the league with 5 straight wins, and they have yet to lose with Tagovailoa under center. At some point, you have to believe this team is for real. Mike McDaniel also comes from San Fran, so he knows a lot of these players. Also, Samuel and McCaffrey are banged up. Give me the points in a game the Dolphins could win outright. 

Randy’s Pick Miami Dolphins +3.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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