Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots - 12/1/22 NFL Picks and Prediction

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The Buffalo Bills will play the New England Patriots on Thursday night at Gillette Stadium in Foxboro, Massachusetts.

The Buffalo Bills are 8-3 this season after they defeated the Detroit Lions by a score of 28-25 in their last game. Buffalo out gained Detroit by a total of 401-326 and forced two turnovers in the win. The Buffalo offense is averaging 28.1 points per game with 279.2 passing yards per game and 136.7 rushing yards per game. Josh Allen has thrown for 3,183 yards, 23 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions, while also rushing for 561 yards and five touchdowns for the Bills this season. Devin Singletary has rushed for 552 yards and three touchdowns, while Stefon Diggs (questionable) has caught 84 passes for 1,110 yards and nine scores for Buffalo. The Buffalo defense is giving up 18.1 points per game and 327.3 yards per game.

The New England Patriots are 6-5 this season after they lost to the Minnesota Vikings by a score of 33-26 in their last game. New England out gained Minnesota by a total of 409-358, but went 3-10 in third down attempts and 0-1 on fourth down attempts in the loss. The New England offense is averaging 21.7 points per game with 216.9 passing yards per game and 109 rushing yards per game. Mac Jones has thrown for 1,768 yards, six touchdowns, and seven interceptions for the Patriots this season. Rhamondre Stevenson has rushed for 680 yards and four scores, while Jakobi Meyers (questionable) has caught 47 passes for 571 yards and three touchdowns for New England. The New England defense is allowing 18.4 points per game and 307.8 yards per game.

Buffalo is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 December games and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. The under is 7-2 in Buffalo’s last 9 games. New England is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against the AFC and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games. The over is 8-3 in New England’s last 11 home games. The road team is 19-7-2 ATS in these two team's last 28 head-to-head meetings.

Buffalo is dealing with an illness that is spreading through their locker room, so it will be interesting to see if it makes anyone miss this game. The Bills were able to barely beat Detroit on Thanksgiving, while New England also lost on Thanksgiving to the Vikings. New England has won three of their last four games and is 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 home games. I like New England to keep this game close and have a chance to win in the fourth quarter.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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