Indianapolis Colts at New England Patriots - 11/6/22 NFL Picks and Prediction

New England Patriots (4-4) vs Indianapolis Colts (3-4-1)

Game Info: Sunday, November 6, 2022 at 1:00 pm (Gillette Stadium)

Betting Odds: New England Patriots -5.5 -- Over/Under: 40.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Indianapolis Colts and New England Patriots face off on Sunday in an NFL showdown at Gillette Stadium. When these two teams faced off in 2021 it was the Colts that won 27-17.

The Colts come into this game with a 3-4-1 record overall, and this game needs to be treated as a must win. In the last game against the Washington Commanders, they took the lead in the 4th quarter, but a late touchdown given up was the difference as they were defeated 17-16. Quarterback Sam Ehlinger completed 17 of his 23 passes for 201 yards, but didn’t find the end zone. The Colts' offense is averaging 16.1 points, while their defense is giving up 19.6 points per game. Jonathan Taylor has continued to miss practice this week, and it’s hard to imagine that he’s going to be playing in this game. The Colts need to find a way to get the offense going here.

On the other side of this matchup is the Patriots, who sit with a 4-4 record overall, and they are also coming off a disappointing loss. The Colts defense gave up 33 points to the Chicago Bears, and that led to a 19 point defeat. Mac Jones only had six passes in the last game, but he is expected to start in this game. The Patriots offense overall is averaging 22.1 points, while their defense is giving up 20.4 points per game. Jones has looked shaky at times this season, and now he has the pressure of Baily Zappe sitting behind him on the bench. In this game, the Patriots need a good game from Jones.

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The Colts are 3-7 in their last 10 games overall. The Patriots are 5-0 in their last five games in November. The over is 9-1 in the last ten meetings played between the two teams. The home team is 4-0 against the spread in the last four meetings.

Points are going to be hard to come by here. The Colts defense is giving up only 19.6 points per game, and the Patriots will really struggle to move the ball against him. I also expect Ehlinger to struggle to move the ball again, and that means the Colts won’t be running up the score either. This is a game that could finish 10-7, and it wouldn’t be that shocking to anyone. Back the under to cash here.

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