Miami Dolphins at Cincinnati Bengals - 9/29/22 NFL Picks and Prediction

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The Miami Dolphins will play the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 4 of the NFL regular season on Thursday night at Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati, Ohio.

The Miami Dolphins are 3-0 this season after they defeated Buffalo by a score of 21-19 in Week 3. Miami was outgained by a total of 497-212 in this game, but was able to make the big plays and barely sneak away with the win. The Miami offense is averaging 27.7 points per game with 291.3 passing yards per game and 64 rushing yards per game. Tua Tagovailoa (questionable) has thrown for 925 yards, eight touchdowns, and two interceptions for the Dolphins this season. Chase Edmonds has rushed for 79 yards and four scores, while Jaylen Waddle (questionable) has caught 19 passes for 342 yards and three touchdowns for Miami. The Miami defense is giving up 21.3 points per game and 413.7 yards per game.

The Cincinnati Bengals are 1-2 this season after they defeated the New York Jets by a score of 27-12 in their last game. Cincinnati forced four turnovers and held New York 0-3 on fourth down conversions in the game. The Cincinnati offense is averaging 21.3 points per game with 241.7 passing yards per game and 97 rushing yards per game. Joe Burrow has thrown for 812 yards, six touchdowns, and four interceptions for the Bengals this season. Joe Mixon has rushed for 163 yards, while Ja’Marr Chase has caught 21 passes for 212 yards and two touchdowns for Cincinnati. The Cincinnati defense is allowing 18.3 points per game and 310.7 yards per game.

Miami is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. The under is 5-1 in Miami’s last 6 road games. Cincinnati is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games against the AFC and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. The under is 8-0 in Cincinnati’s last 8 games. The under is 5-1-1 in these two teams last 7 head to head meetings.

Miami got a huge win over Buffalo in their last game, but was severely outgained in the matchup. Cincinnati got their first win of the season against the Jets, but total yardage was about the same. We need to keep an eye on Tua Tagovailoa for this matchup, as it will be a huge loss for Miami if he is not able to go. I expect the Cincinnati defense to step up to the task in this game and I am taking the under.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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