The Miami Dolphins and Tennessee Titans face off on Sunday in a Week 17 NFL showdown at Nissan Stadium. When these two teams faced off in September of 2018 it was the Dolphins that won 27-20.
The Dolphins come into this game with an 8-7 record and they have gone 8-6-1 against the spread. The Dolphins defense was elite in the last game giving up only three points against the Saints and that led to the 17 point victory. In three of the last four games the Dolphins have given up ten points or less. Miami is averaging 20.3 points while their defense is giving up 21 points per game. Tua Tagovailoa has thrown for 2,339 yards and 15 touchdowns. Jaylen Waddle has also been a key for this team, especially the last few games. Waddle has caught 96 passes for 941 yards, and five touchdowns.
On the other side of this matchup is the Tennessee Titans who sit with a 10-5 record overall and they have gone 9-6 against the spread. In the last game against the 49ers the Titans were underdogs, but they scored 20 points in the second half, and that led to the victory. The Titans got AJ Brown back and he had 11 catches for 145 yards and a touchdown. Tennessee is averaging 23.8 points while their defense is giving up 21.7 points per game. Ryan Tannehill has been strong throwing for 3,327 yards, 15 touchdowns, and 14 interceptions. On the season Brown has caught 57 passes for 760 yards and four touchdowns.
The Dolphins are 6-1-1 against the spread in their last eight games. The Titans are 5-2 against the spread in their last seven games. The over is 5-2 in the last seven meetings. The underdog is 4-0 against the spread in the last four meetings.
This has been a series dominated by the underdog, and the Dolphins defense has been strong heading into this game. I expect the Dolphins are going to find a way to take away AJ Brown and that is going to be the difference in this game. Back the Dolphins against the spread.
AUTHOR: Shane Mickle
