Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots: 12/26/21 NFL Picks and Prediction

Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots: 12/26/21 NFL Picks and Prediction Photo by Jamie Germano / USA TODAY NETWORK

New England Patriots (9-5) vs Buffalo Bills (8-6)

Game Info: Sunday, December 26, 2021 at 1:00 pm (Gillette Stadium)

Betting Odds: New England Patriots -2 -- Over/Under: 44 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The New England Patriots will play host to the Buffalo Bills on Sunday from Gillette Stadium in New England in a matchup that should decided the winner of the AFC East. The Buffalo Bills look to avenge a 14-10 loss to New England in Week 12 in what was an extremely slow game. 

The Patriots are coming off of a loss against the Indianapolis Colts as they ended their 7 game winning streak. Mac Jones was 26 of 45 for 299 yards with 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, with a 53.4 passer rating.

The Patriots have won 7 in a row as they look to win the division in this one. Mac Jones has been putting it together in the second half of the season and looks poised to make some noise in the playoffs. He has thrown for 3,168 yards for 18 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. He has a QBR of 53.2. 

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The Patriots offense averages 347.9 yards a game which is 16th in the league. They are scoring 26.2 points per game as they give up 307.5 yards and 16.2 points per game to their opponents. 

The Bills are coming off of a win against the Panthers in their last game. Josh Allen went 19 for 34 for 210 passing yards, three passing touchdowns, and 1 interception. He had a QBR of 47.6.

Quarterback Josh Allen has completed 65.2% of his passes for 3,734 yards and 31 touchdowns. He is also the team’s second-leading rusher as he has 555 rushing yards and four touchdowns on 90 carries.

The Bills offense averages 377.9 yards a game which is 7th in the league. They are scoring 27.6 points per game as they give up 287.9 yards and 17.4 points per game to their opponents. 

The Patriots have been playing an elite level of defense this year. The Bills also have the best ranked defense in the league as well. We saw last game trend completely to the under but things might change in this one as both teams need this win to clinch the division. The Bills are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games on fieldturf and are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC East. The underdog is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. Many of the trends in this one point towards the Patriots, however, Allen and the Bills will be more motivated in this one as the division is on the line.

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Clayton’s Pick Buffalo +2

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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