Buffalo Bills at Tampa Bay Buccaneers - 12/12/21 NFL Picks and Prediction

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The Buffalo Bills will hope to gain some momentum as they have struggled in their last few games when they face Tom Brady and the Bucs on Sunday afternoon.

The Bills are coming off of a loss to the New England Patriots. The Bills offense struggled to get things going as the game went way under the total. 

Josh Allen continues to be an elite leader under center for this Bills team. Allen has 3,216 passing yards this season for 26 touchdowns on 10 interceptions for the Bills. He has a QBR of 57.4. 

The Bills offense averages 376 yards a game which is 9th in the league. They are scoring 28 points per game as they give up 272.3 yards and 16.3 points per game to their opponents. 

The Bucs earned a 30-17 victory over the Falcons in their last game. Tom Brady was spectacular as per usual as he completed 74.5% of his passes for 368 yards and 4 touchdowns. 

Tom Brady is putting together another impressive season in his 40s for the Bucs. He has thrown for 3,771 yards with 34 touchdowns and 10 interceptions through the air. He has a QBR of 66.1 as he continues to be one of the best QBs in the league statistically. 

The Buccaneers offense averages 403 yards a game which is 2nd in the league. They are scoring 31.4 points per game as they give up 332.8 yards and 22.5 points per game to their opponents.

The Buccaneers are 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite. The Bills are 15-7-1 ATS in their last 23 games overall and are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in Week 14. Many of the trends in this series point in favor of the Bucs as the Bills are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings, the favorite is 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the home team is 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. 

The Bills have been struggling and Tom Brady will be motivated by the Belichick comparisons after the Pats beat the Bills last week. I like for Tampa to win this one by a touchdown as Tom Brady will continue to do what he does best.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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