Buffalo Bills at Jacksonville Jaguars: 11/7/21 NFL Picks and Prediction

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The Buffalo Bills will travel to TIAA Bank Field to take on the Jacksonville Jaguars this Sunday afternoon in College Football action.

The Buffalo Bills improved to 5-2 on the season after defeating the Miami Dolphins, 26-11, this past Sunday. Buffalo struggled offensively in the 1st half against the Dolphins, however, Josh Allen and the Bills offense found their rhythm in the 2nd half and was able to pull away for the victory after a 39-yard FG by Tyler Bass gave the Bills a 20-11 lead with 3:29 left in the 4th quarter. Buffalo outgained Miami by a 351-262 margin while also winning the turnover battle by a 2-0 margin. Leading the way for the Bills was QB Josh Allen who completed 29 of 42 passes for 249 yards & 2 TD.

On the season, Buffalo is averaging 32.7 ppg on 409.6 total yards per game (283.0 passing yds/g; 126.6 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Buffalo has been led by QB Josh Allen who has completed 65.4% of his passes for 1972 yards (320.1 yds/game), 17 TD, & 3 INT while also rushing for 269 yards & 3 TD. The top receiving threats for the Bills have been Stefon Diggs (42 rec, 503 yards, 3 TD), Emmanuel Sanders (24 rec, 413 yards, 4 TD), Cole Beasley (43 rec, 413 yards, TD), & Dawson Knox (21 rec, 286 yards, 5 TD). Buffalo will be without Dawson Knox who is recovering from hand surgery. Leading the way for the Bills backfield has been the duo of Devin Singletary (67 att, 339 yards, TD) & Zack Moss (62 att, 227 yards, 3 TD).

Defensively, Buffalo is holding their opponents to an average of 15.6 ppg on 281.1 total yards per game (194.6 passing yds/g; 86.6 rushing yds/g).

The Jacksonville Jaguars dropped to 1-6 on the season after being defeated by the Seattle Seahawks, 31-7, this past Sunday. Jacksonville had no answers on the offensive end against the Seattle defense and could not fight back after going into halftime trailing by a 17-0 margin. Jacksonville outgained Seattle by a 309-229 margin, however, lost the turnover battle by a 1-0 margin in the loss. Leading the way for the Jaguars was QB Trevor Lawrence who completed 32 of 54 passes for 238 yards, 1 TD, & 1 INT.

On the season, Jacksonville is averaging 17.6 ppg on 359.4 total yards per game (243.3 passing yds/g; 116.1 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Jacksonville has been led by QB Trevor Lawrence who has completed 59.6% of his passes for 1703 yards (262.1 yds/g), 8 TD, & 9 INT. The top receiving threats for the Jaguars have been Marvin Jones Jr. (33 rec, 378 yards, 3 TD), Laviska Shenault Jr. (28 rec, 319 yards), Dan Arnold (18 rec, 188 yards), & Jamal Agnew (18 rec, 184 yards). Leading the way for the Jaguars backfield has been James Robinson who has 482 rushing yards & 5 TD on 88 carries. Robinson had to leave last week’s game early due to a heel injury and is currently questionable for this matchup. If Robinson can’t go, Carlos Hyde (33 att, 140 yards) will be the lead back for the Jaguars.

Defensively, Jacksonville is allowing their opponents to average 29.0 ppg on 397.7 total yards per game (289.9 passing yds/g; 107.9 rushing yds/g).

The Bills are 3-0-1 ATS in their lats 4 games following a ATS loss and 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Jaguars are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Jacksonville was able to pick up a win recently against Miami, however, this is just not a great football team as they come into this ranked just 28th in both scoring offense & defense. Buffalo has the top ranked scoring defense in the NFL that should have no trouble slowing down an offense that has struggled with turnovers and could be without their primary RB in James Robinson. Josh Allen and the Bills offense will be able to put up plenty of points in this one, and I think the Bills win this one by 17+ and cover this spread. Good Luck!

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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