Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints: 11/7/21 NFL Picks and Prediction

Defensively, Atlanta is allowing their opponents to average 27.9 ppg on 369.1 total yards per game (244.0 passing yds/g; 125.1 rushing yds/g).

The New Orleans Saints won their 3rd straight game and improved to 5-2 on the season after defeating the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 36-27, this past Sunday. New Orleans suffered a tough blow after losing Jameis Winston for the season with a torn ACL early in the game, however, the Saints offense didn’t miss a beat with Trevor Siemian under center and was able to take the lead for good on a 23-yard FG by Brian Johnson with 1:41 left in the 4th quarter. New Orleans was outgained by Tampa Bay by a 421-361 margin, however, did win the turnover battle by a 3-0 margin in the victory. Leading the way for the Saints was Trevor Siemian who completed 16 of 29 passes for 159 yards & 1 TD.

On the season, New Orleans is averaging 25.1 ppg on 316.6 total yards per game (191.6 passing yds/g; 125.0 rushing yds/g). Offensively, New Orleans has been led by RB Alvin Kamara who has 480 rushing yards & 2 TD on 133 carries while also hauling in 28 receptions for 256 yards & 4 TD. QB Trevor Siemian will be under center for the Saints, however, with Taysom Hill back on the field for practice this week, we certainly could see Hill for a few plays under center. The top receiving threats for the Saints have been Marquez Callaway (19 rec, 284 yards, 3 TD), Deonte Harris (15 rec, 271 yards, 2 TD), Adam Trautman (11 rec, 104 yards), & Juwan Johnson (7 rec, 72 yards, 3 TD).

Defensively, New Orleans is holding their opponents to an average of 18.3 ppg on 360.6 total yards per game (281.1 passing yds/g; 79.4 rushing yds/g).

The Falcons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. NFC opponents. The Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 November games and 11-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

Atlanta has picked up a few wins this season, however, they haven't faced the toughest of competition as the combined record of the three teams the Falcons have beat is currently 5-19. New Orleans defense was impressive against Tom Brady and the Buccaneers last week and I think should have even more success in this matchup as the Falcons are missing one of their best offensive weapons and currently rank just 21st in scoring offense. New Orleans should have plenty of success on the ground with Alvin Kamara & Mark Ingram III against Atlanta’s 25th ranked rushing defense as I expect the Saints defense to limit the Falcons scoring in this one, I think New Orleans wins by at least a TD and covers this spread. Good Luck!