New York Jets at New England Patriots: 10/24/21 NFL Picks and Prediction

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The New York Jets will travel to Gillette Stadium to take on the New England Patriots this Sunday afternoon in NFL action.

The New York Jets dropped to 1-4 on the season after being defeated by the Atlanta Falcons, 27-20, this past Sunday. New York found back from a 20-3 halftime deficit to make it 20-17 game midway through the 4th quarter, however, the Jets could not fight back after Atlanta made it a double-digit led with 2:19 left in the 4th quarter on a 3-yard Mike Davis TD run. New York won the turnover battle by a 2-1 margin, however, was outgained by Atlanta by a 450-230 margin in the loss. Leading the way for the Jets was RB Michael Carter who had 38 rushing yards & 1 TD on 10 carries.

On the season, New York is averaging 13.4 ppg on 297.4 total yards per game (223.4 passing yds/g; 74.0 rushing yds/g). Offensively, New York has been led by QB Zach Wilson who has completed 57.3% of his passes for 1117 yards (227.8 yds/g), 4 TD, & 9 INT. The top receiving threats for the Jets have been Corey Davis (20 rec, 302 yards, 3 TD), Keelan Cole (7 rec, 160 yards), Braxton Berrios (16 rec, 156 yards), & Jamison Crowder (11 rec, 85 yards, 1 TD). Leading the way for the Jets backfield has been Michael Carter who has 165 rushing yards & 2 TD on 47 carries.

Defensively, New York is allowing their opponents to average 24.2 ppg on 391.4 total yards per game (268.0 passing yds/g; 123.4 rushing yds/g).

The New England Patriots dropped to 2-4 on the season after being defeated by the Dallas Cowboys by a 35-29 margin in OT this past Sunday. New England gave the Cowboys all they could handle, however, Dallas was able to force OT on a 49-yard FG by Greg Zuerlein late in the 4th quarter and won the game on a 35-yard TD reception by CeeDee Lamb with 3:52 left in OT. New England was outgained by Dallas by a 567-335 margin and committed 2 turnovers in the loss. Leading the way for the Patriots was RB Damien Harris who had 101 rushing yards & 1 TD on 18 carries.

On the season, New England is averaging 20.8 ppg on 339.5 total yards per game (252.8 passing yds/g; 86.7 rushing yds/g). Offensively, New England has been led by RB Damien Harris who has 331 rushing yards & 4 TD on 81 carries. QB Mac Jones has completed 71.1% of his passes for 1472 yards, 7 TD, & 6 INT. The top receiving threats for the Patriots have been Jakobi Meyers (36 rec, 346 yards), Kendrick Bourne (18 rec, 282 yards, 2 TD), Hunter Henry (22 rec, 241 yards, 3 TD), & Nelson Agholor (17 rec, 224 yards, 1 TD).

Defensively, New England is holding their opponents to an average of 21.2 ppg on 373.8 total yards per game (261.0 passing yds/g; 112.8 rushing yds/g).

The Jets are 7-2-2 ATS in their last 11 games in Week 7, however, are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Patriots are 25-10 ATS vs. a team with a losing record, however, are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall.

New England is the better team here and already defeated New York by a 25-6 margin, however, this is a lot of points to cover for a team that has generally played to the level of it’s competition and recently barley beat Houston. New York’s offense has a lot of question marks, however, the Pats have looked vulnerable as of late in their passing defense and as I just don’t see this Patriots offense piling on the points against a decent New York defense, I’m taking the Jets and the points in this one.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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