New England Patriots at Houston Texans: 10/10/21 NFL Picks and Prediction

Houston Texans (1-3) vs New England Patriots (1-3)

Game Info: Sunday, October 10, 2021 at 1:00 pm (NRG Stadium)

Betting Odds: Houston Texans +9 -- Over/Under: 39.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The New England Patriots will travel to NRG Stadium to take on the Houston Texans this Sunday afternoon in NFL Football action.

The New England Patriots lost their 2nd straight game and dropped to 1-3 on the season after being defeated by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 19-17, this past Sunday night. New England gave the defending Super Bowl Championships all they could handle behind a strong defensive effort, however, the Patriots came up short late after a game-winning 56-yard FG attempt by Nick Folk hit the left upright with just under a minute left in regulation. New England was outgained by Tampa Bay by a 381-294 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 2-0 margin in the loss. Leading the way for the Patriots was QB Mac Jones who completed 31 of 40 passes for 275 yards, 2 TD, & 1 INT.

On the season, New England is averaging 17.8 ppg on 332.8 total yards per game (264.3 passing yds/g; 68.5 rushing yds/g). Offensively, New England has been led by QB Mac Jones who has completed 70.0% of his passes for 1012 yards (259.8 passing yds/g), 4 TD, & 4 INT. The top receivers for the Patriots have been Jakobi Meyers (27 rec, 246 yards), Kendrick Bourne (14 rec, 181 yards, TD), Nelson Agholor (13 rec, 165 yards, TD), & Hunter Henry (14 rec, 141 yards, TD). Leading the way for the New England backfield has been Damien Harris who has rushed for 172 yards & 1 TD on 49 carries.

Defensively, New England is holding their opponents to an average of 17.5 ppg on 324.3 total yards per game (202.3 passing yds/g; 122.0 rushing yds/g).

The Houston Texans lost their three straight games and dropped to 1-3 on the season after being defeated by the Buffalo Bills, 40-0, this past Sunday. Houston was dominated on both ends of the field against the Texans and could not fight back after going into halftime trailing by a 16-0 margin. Houston was outgained by Buffalo by a 450-109 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 5-1 margin in the loss. Leading the way for the Texans was WR Brandon Cooks who had 5 receptions for 47 yards.

On the season, Houston is averaging 16.8 ppg on 276.3 total yards per game (193.3 passing yds/g; 83.0 rushing yds/g). On the season, Houston has been led by WR Brandon Cooks who had 28 receptions for 369 yards & 1 TD. QB Davis Mills has completed 56.7% of his passes for 357 yards, 2 TD, & 5 INT since replacing the injured Tyrod Taylor. The other top receivers for the Texans outside of Cooks have been Pharaoh Brown (5 rec, 73 yards), Jordan Akins (6 rec, 53 yards), & Danny Amendola (6 rec, 43 yards, TD). Leading the way for the Texans backfield has been the duo of Mark Ingram II (52 att, 171 yards, TD) & David Johnson (16 att, 67 yards; 8 rec, 67 yards, TD).

Defensively, Houston is allowing their opponents to average 29.0 ppg on 413.3 total yards per game (276.3 passing yds/g; 137.0 rushing yds/g).

The Patriots are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The Texans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog, however, are just 4-16-1 ATS in their last 21 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

New England certainly has some questions on the offensive end, however, their defense is extremely solid and should not have any issues against the lack-luster Houston Texans offense. New England certainly isn’t lighting up the scoreboard this season, however, Mac Jones continues to show promise and as I think they will have some success against Houston’s 28th ranked scoring defense, I’m think the Patriots win this one by double-digits and covers this large road spread.  

Brett’s Pick New England Patriots -9

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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