Green Bay Packers at New Orleans Saints: 9/12/21 NFL Picks and Prediction
Photo by Mark Hoffman / Milwaukee Journal Sentinel via Imagn Content Services, LLC
New Orleans Saints (0-0) vs Green Bay Packers (0-0)
Game Info: Sunday, September 12, 2021 at 4:25 pm (TIAA Bank Field)
Betting Odds: New Orleans Saints +3.5 -- Over/Under: 49.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The Green Bay Packers and New Orleans Saints will square off at TIAA Bank Field this Sunday afternoon in NFL Football action.
The Green Bay Packers are coming off another impressive season, finishing 13-3 last season, however, the season ended in disappointment as the Packers once again fell in the NFC Championship. Green Bay has plenty of drama in the offseason, centered around the possible departure of Aaron Rodgers, however, the Packers were able to come to terms with their franchise QB and hope that he can bring the same success to the offense as he did last season when the Packers ranked 1st in the NFL in scoring at 31.8 ppg on 389.0 total yards per game (256.6 passing yds/g; 132.4 rushing yds/g). QB Aaron Rodgers completed 70.7% of his passes for 4299 yards, 48 TD, & 5 INT last season. The top receiving threats for Green Bay will be Davante Adams (115 rec, 1374 yards, 18 TD), Robert Tonyan (52 rec, 586 yards, 11 TD), Marquez Valdes-Scantling (33 rec, 690 yards, 6 TD), & Allen Lazard (33 rec, 451 yards, 3 TD). Leading the way for the Green Bay backfield will be Aaron Jones who finished last season with 1104 rushing yards & 9 TD on 201 carries.
Defensively, the Packers brought in a new defensive coordinator in Joe Berry who they home can continue to improve a defense that finished last season ranked t-13th in scoring defense at 23.1 ppg on 334.0 total yards per game (221.2 passing yds/g; 112.8 rushing yds/g).
The New Orleans Saints had another successful year last season, finishing the season with a 12-4 record, however, like Green Bay, lost to the eventual Super Bowl Champions, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, in the Divisional Round of the Playoffs. New Orleans went through a bunch of changes this offseason, no bigger than having Drew Brees retire, and there will be a lot of new faces on the Saints after having to shed over 100 million dollars in cap space. Offensively, after a preseason battle for the starting QB position between Jameis Winston & Taysom Hill, it was announced last week by Sean Payton that Jameis Winston will start the season as the top QB for the Saints. Wilson will not have his top WR threat in Michael Thomas who will start the season on the PUP list and will have to largely depend upon Tre’Quan Smith (34 rec, 448 yards, 4 TD), Marquez Callaway (21 rec, 213 yards), & Adam Trautman (15 rec, 171 yards, TD). Leading the way for the New Orleans backfield will be one of the best dual threat running backs in the NFL in Alvin Kamara who finished last season rushing for 932 yards & 16 TD’s while also hauling in 756 yards & 5 TD’s on 83 receptions.
Defensviely, New Orleans finished last season as one of the better defenses in the NFL, ranking t-5th in scoring defense at 21.1 ppg, however, it will be interesting to see if the Saints can repeat that success after losing many key pieces of that defense, including Trey Hendrickson, Kwon Alexander, & Malcolm Jenkins. Leading the way for the defense this season will be Cameron Jordan.
The Packers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games in September and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 1. The Saints are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. NFL opponents and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
This should be one of the more entertaining games to watch this Sunday, however, it’s hard not to like the Packers to cover in this one. Green Bay basically returns the same team that went 13-3 last season and will the trio of Aaron Rodgers, Aaron Jones, & Devante Adams, should be able to repeat that offensive success that saw the Packers average over 30.0 ppg last season. New Orleans has some talent, however between the fact that Jameis Winston is a far from proven QB who doesn’t have his biggest receiving weapon in Michael Thomas and that I think the New Orleans defense is going to take a step back this season, I think the play here is to take Green Bay to cover this small spread. Good Luck!
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