Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs: 1/24/21 NFL Picks and Prediction

Defensively, Buffalo allowing their opponents to average 23.4 ppg on 352.5 total yards per game (232.9 passing yds/g; 119.6 rushing yds/g).

The Kansas City Chiefs kept their hopes of winning back-to-back Superbowl’s alive after defeating the Cleveland Brown, 22-17, this past Sunday. Kansas City looked like they were going to cruise to victory in the 2nd half after going into halftime with a 19-3 lead, however, after a concussion that knocked out Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City needed some key plays late by backup Chad Hanne to hang on for the victory. Kansas City outgained Cleveland by a 438-308 margin while also winning the turnover battle by a 2-1 margin in the victory. Leading the way for the Chiefs was TE Travis Kelce who had 8 receptions for 109 yards & 1 TD.

In the regular season, Kansas City averaged 29.6 ppg on 415.8 total yards per game (303.4 passing yds/g; 112.4 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Kansas City has been led by QB Patrick Mahomes who has completed 66.3% of his passes for 4,740 yards (336.5 passing yds/g), 38 TD, & 6 INT. The top receiving threats for the Mahomes and the Chiefs have been Travis Kelce (105 rec, 1,416 yards, 11 TD), Tyreek Hill (87 rec, 1,276 yards, 15 TD), Mecole Hardman (41 rec, 560 yards, 4 TD), & Demarcus Robinson (45 rec, 466 yards, 3 TD). Leading the way for the Kansas City backfield has been Clyde Edwards-Helaire (181 att, 803 yards, 4 TD), Le’Veon Bell (63 att, 254 yards, 2 TD), & Darrel Williams (39 att, 169 yards, 1 TD). Clyde Edwards-Helaire hasn’t missed the entire playoffs, but as he was close to playing last Sunday, I think he will be able to go in this one.

Defensively, Kansas City is allowing their opponents to average 22.6 ppg on 358.3 total yards per game (236.2 passing yds/g; 122.1 rushing yds/g).

The Bills are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win. The Chiefs are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games overall.

We will obviously have to monitor the status of Patrick Mahomes throughout the week to make sure he is able to go, however, early indications look like he will be able to play and my current pick assumes that he will be able to go on Sunday. Buffalo has had an incredible season and was impressive defensively against Baltimore, however, I just don’t see their defense being able to slow down the Kansas City passing attack in this one. Kansas defeated Buffalo by a 26-17 margin on the road earlier this season and as I expect a similar result at home in this one, I’m taking Kansas City to cover this small spread. Good Luck!