Kansas City Chiefs vs. San Francisco 49ers - 2/2/20 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Kansas City Chiefs vs. San Francisco 49ers - 2/2/20 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

San Francisco 49ers (15-3) at Kansas City Chiefs (14-4)

NFL Football: Sunday, February 2, 2020 at 6:30 pm (Hard Rock Stadium)

The Line: Kansas City Chiefs -1 -- Over/Under: 53.5

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The Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers meet Sunday in Super Bowl LIV at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami. 

The Kansas City Chiefs will win their first Super Bowl since 1969 with a victory here. The Kansas City Chiefs have won seven of their last eight non-home games. Patrick Mahomes is completing 65.9 percent of his passes for 4,031 yards, 26 touchdowns and five interceptions. Mahomes has three or more touchdown passes in five of his last 14 games. Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill have combined for 2,089 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns while Sammy Watkins has 52 receptions. The Kansas City Chiefs ground game is averaging 98.1 yards per contest, and Damien Williams leads the way with 498 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Kansas City is allowing 19.3 points and 349.6 yards per game. Anthony Hitchens leads the Kansas City Chiefs with 88 tackles, Chris Jones has nine sacks and Tyrann Mathieu has four interceptions.

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The San Francisco 49ers look to win their sixth Super Bowl in franchise history and first since 1994. The San Francisco 49ers have won seven of their last eight non-home games. Jimmy Garoppolo is completing 69.1 percent of his passes for 3,978 yards, 27 touchdowns and 13 interceptions. Garoppolo has four touchdown passes in three of his last nine games. George Kittle and Deebo Samuel have combined for 1,855 receiving yards and eight touchdowns while Emmanuel Sanders has 36 receptions. The San Francisco 49ers ground game is averaging 144.1 yards per contest, and Raheem Mostert leads the way with 772 yards and eight touchdowns. Defensively, San Francisco is allowing 19.3 points and 277.4 yards per game. Fred Warner leads the San Francisco 49ers with 118 tackles, Arik Armstead has 10 sacks and Richard Sherman has three interceptions.

The 49ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win, 6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall. The Chiefs are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a ATS win and 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The over is 4-1-1 in 49ers last 6 games overall. The over is 7-2 in Chiefs last 9 vs. a team with a winning record. The 49ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

I've been burned a few times this season betting against the San Francisco 49ers, and if you believe the old saying of defense wins championships, you should side with them in this spot as well. The problem is if there's any team built to have success against this defense, it's the Kansas City Chiefs with the amount of depth and speed at the skill positions and the running ability of Mahomes. Andy Reid also has a 17-3 career record after a bye during the regular season, so giving him an extra week to prepare is dangerous. The San Francisco 49ers are physical on both sides of the ball and probably the more complete team, but I'm still leaning toward the Chiefs offense and coaching in what should be an exciting Super Bowl.

Thanks for following along and see you guys next season.

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Randy’s Pick Kansas City Chiefs -1

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.