Green Bay Packers at San Francisco 49ers - 1/19/20 NFL NFC Championship Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Green Bay Packers at San Francisco 49ers - 1/19/20 NFL NFC Championship Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Raj Mehta-USA TODAY Sports

Green Bay Packers (14-3) at San Francisco 49ers (14-3)

NFL Football: Sunday, January 19, 2020 at 6:40 pm (Levi's Stadium)

The Line: San Francisco 49ers -7.5 -- Over/Under: 46.5

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The Green Bay Packers and San Francisco 49ers meet Sunday in the NFC Championship at Levi's Stadium.

The Green Bay Packers will advance to their first Super Bowl since 2010 with a victory here. The Green Bay Packers have won three straight road games. Aaron Rodgers is completing 62 percent of his passes for 4,002 yards, 26 touchdowns and four interceptions. Rodgers has two or more touchdown passes in 14 of his last 26 games. Davante Adams and Marquez Valdes-Scantling have combined for 1,474 receiving yards and eight touchdowns while Aaron Jones has 49 receptions. The Green Bay Packers ground game is averaging 112.2 yards per contest, and Jones leads the way with 1,084 yards and 16 touchdowns. Defensively, Green Bay is allowing 19.5 points and 355.8 yards per game. Blake Martinez leads the Green Bay Packers with 155 tackles, Za'Darius Smith has 13.5 sacks and Kevin King has five interceptions.

The San Francisco 49ers will advance to their first Super Bowl since 2012 with a victory here. The San Francisco 49ers have won seven of their last nine home games. Jimmy Garoppolo is completing 69.1 percent of his passes for 3,978 yards, 27 touchdowns and 13 interceptions. Garoppolo has four touchdown passes in three of his last nine games. George Kittle and Deebo Samuel have combined for 1,855 receiving yards and eight touchdowns while Emmanuel Sanders has 36 receptions. The San Francisco 49ers ground game is averaging 144.1 yards per contest, and Raheem Mostert leads the way with 772 yards and eight touchdowns. Defensively, San Francisco is allowing 19.3 points and 277.4 yards per game. Fred Warner leads the San Francisco 49ers with 118 tackles, Arik Armstead has 10 sacks and Richard Sherman has three interceptions.

The Packers are 8-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 playoff games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 playoff road games. The 49ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in January, 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games as a favorite and 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The over is 4-0 in Packers last 4 playoff games. The over is 3-1-1 in 49ers last 5 games overall. The Packers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings. The over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.

The San Francisco 49ers dominated the Packers about two months ago, controlling the trenches and winning 38-7 pretty effortlessly. However, maybe facing this 49ers defense already gives them an advantage and allows them to design a better game plan, mainly on the offensive end. The San Francisco 49ers are the better team on both sides of the ball and should win, but I always have a hard time leaving free points on the table with the Packers and one of the best quarterbacks in the game. The Packers have won outright three of their last four games as an underdog. The San Francisco 49ers are just 5-10-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite. I want the points.

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Randy’s Pick Green Bay Packers +7.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.